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icon for GTA VI released by...?

GTA VI released by...?

icon for GTA VI released by...?

GTA VI released by...?

$74,128 Vol.

Sep 30, 2026
Polymarket

$74,128 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for September 30

September 30

$2,141 Vol.

1%

icon for October 31

October 31

$64,747 Vol.

1%

icon for November 30

November 30

$7,239 Vol.

94%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.Rockstar and Take-Two have repeatedly reaffirmed GTA VI’s November 19, 2026 release on PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X/S, with the latest confirmation coming from Rockstar North co-head Rob Nelson in a late-August Famitsu interview stating the game “will be released on time.” This aligns with Take-Two’s August 7 earnings guidance expressing “high degree of confidence” and linking fiscal 2027 projections directly to the date, alongside live pre-orders and a November 12 preload window. The August 27 Netflix extended gameplay showcase further signaled readiness by highlighting polished in-game footage. While Rockstar’s history includes prior slips from 2025 to May 2026 and then November, current executive messaging and marketing momentum point to strong trader consensus around an on-schedule launch, with any late-stage polish concerns now secondary to the proximity of the target date.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.

The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
Volume
$74,128
End Date
Dec 1, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 11:23 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.Rockstar and Take-Two have repeatedly reaffirmed GTA VI’s November 19, 2026 release on PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X/S, with the latest confirmation coming from Rockstar North co-head Rob Nelson in a late-August Famitsu interview stating the game “will be released on time.” This aligns with Take-Two’s August 7 earnings guidance expressing “high degree of confidence” and linking fiscal 2027 projections directly to the date, alongside live pre-orders and a November 12 preload window. The August 27 Netflix extended gameplay showcase further signaled readiness by highlighting polished in-game footage. While Rockstar’s history includes prior slips from 2025 to May 2026 and then November, current executive messaging and marketing momentum point to strong trader consensus around an on-schedule launch, with any late-stage polish concerns now secondary to the proximity of the target date.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.

The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
Volume
$74,128
End Date
Dec 1, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 11:23 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"GTA VI released by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "November 30" at 94%, followed by "September 30" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "GTA VI released by...?" has generated $74.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "GTA VI released by...?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "GTA VI released by...?" is "November 30" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "September 30" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "GTA VI released by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.