Official National Weather Service forecasts for Miami International Airport project a high of 91°F on September 2 amid a classic late-summer pattern of high humidity, easterly flow, and afternoon thunderstorm development that often limits peak readings. Model consensus from recent runs shows similar values in the 89–92°F range, consistent with the 30-year climatological average near 90°F and the absence of strong high-pressure ridging or tropical moisture surges that could push extremes higher. These conditions underpin trader emphasis on the 90–91°F and 92–93°F bins, which together command over three-quarters of the implied probability, while lower or higher outcomes remain discounted absent any forecast shift before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on September 2?
Highest temperature in Miami on September 2?
90-91°F 50%
92-93°F 30%
88-89°F 8%
94-95°F 8%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
81°F or below
2%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
12%
90-91°F
50%
92-93°F
30%
94-95°F
8%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 50%
92-93°F 30%
88-89°F 8%
94-95°F 8%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
81°F or below
$184 Vol.
2%
82-83°F
$33 Vol.
4%
84-85°F
$127 Vol.
4%
86-87°F
$30 Vol.
5%
88-89°F
$408 Vol.
12%
90-91°F
$322 Vol.
50%
92-93°F
$1,136 Vol.
30%
94-95°F
$62 Vol.
8%
96-97°F
$82 Vol.
3%
98-99°F
$157 Vol.
<1%
100°F or higher
$365 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Miami International Airport project a high of 91°F on September 2 amid a classic late-summer pattern of high humidity, easterly flow, and afternoon thunderstorm development that often limits peak readings. Model consensus from recent runs shows similar values in the 89–92°F range, consistent with the 30-year climatological average near 90°F and the absence of strong high-pressure ridging or tropical moisture surges that could push extremes higher. These conditions underpin trader emphasis on the 90–91°F and 92–93°F bins, which together command over three-quarters of the implied probability, while lower or higher outcomes remain discounted absent any forecast shift before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,864End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Miami International Airport project a high of 91°F on September 2 amid a classic late-summer pattern of high humidity, easterly flow, and afternoon thunderstorm development that often limits peak readings. Model consensus from recent runs shows similar values in the 89–92°F range, consistent with the 30-year climatological average near 90°F and the absence of strong high-pressure ridging or tropical moisture surges that could push extremes higher. These conditions underpin trader emphasis on the 90–91°F and 92–93°F bins, which together command over three-quarters of the implied probability, while lower or higher outcomes remain discounted absent any forecast shift before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,864End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for Miami International Airport project a high of 91°F on September 2 amid a classic late-summer pattern of high humidity, easterly flow, and afternoon thunderstorm development that often limits peak readings. Model consensus from recent runs shows similar values in the 89–92°F range, consistent with the 30-year climatological average near 90°F and the absence of strong high-pressure ridging or tropical moisture surges that could push extremes higher. These conditions underpin trader emphasis on the 90–91°F and 92–93°F bins, which together command over three-quarters of the implied probability, while lower or higher outcomes remain discounted absent any forecast shift before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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