Incumbent Democrat Don Davis maintains a modest polling advantage over Republican Laurie Buckhout in North Carolina’s 1st congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election. Recent surveys, including a June poll showing Davis ahead 45-41 percent, reflect his established name recognition and support among key voting blocs despite redistricting that shifted the district toward an R+5 lean based on prior presidential results. Buckhout, who won the Republican primary, benefits from the district’s conservative tilt and national GOP targeting, yet traders assign the Democratic nominee a 61.5 percent implied probability, consistent with broader expectations of a favorable midterm environment for Democrats. The race remains among the most competitive House contests, with limited new polling or developments in recent weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNC-01 House Election Winner
NC-01 House Election Winner
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
62%
Republican Party
39%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$437 Vol.
62%
Republican Party
$1,272 Vol.
39%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Don Davis maintains a modest polling advantage over Republican Laurie Buckhout in North Carolina’s 1st congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election. Recent surveys, including a June poll showing Davis ahead 45-41 percent, reflect his established name recognition and support among key voting blocs despite redistricting that shifted the district toward an R+5 lean based on prior presidential results. Buckhout, who won the Republican primary, benefits from the district’s conservative tilt and national GOP targeting, yet traders assign the Democratic nominee a 61.5 percent implied probability, consistent with broader expectations of a favorable midterm environment for Democrats. The race remains among the most competitive House contests, with limited new polling or developments in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Volume
$1,709End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Don Davis maintains a modest polling advantage over Republican Laurie Buckhout in North Carolina’s 1st congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election. Recent surveys, including a June poll showing Davis ahead 45-41 percent, reflect his established name recognition and support among key voting blocs despite redistricting that shifted the district toward an R+5 lean based on prior presidential results. Buckhout, who won the Republican primary, benefits from the district’s conservative tilt and national GOP targeting, yet traders assign the Democratic nominee a 61.5 percent implied probability, consistent with broader expectations of a favorable midterm environment for Democrats. The race remains among the most competitive House contests, with limited new polling or developments in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$1,709End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Don Davis maintains a modest polling advantage over Republican Laurie Buckhout in North Carolina’s 1st congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election. Recent surveys, including a June poll showing Davis ahead 45-41 percent, reflect his established name recognition and support among key voting blocs despite redistricting that shifted the district toward an R+5 lean based on prior presidential results. Buckhout, who won the Republican primary, benefits from the district’s conservative tilt and national GOP targeting, yet traders assign the Democratic nominee a 61.5 percent implied probability, consistent with broader expectations of a favorable midterm environment for Democrats. The race remains among the most competitive House contests, with limited new polling or developments in recent weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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