Julie Fedorchak holds a commanding position in North Dakota’s at-large House race due to the state’s consistent Republican tilt, her 69 percent victory in the 2024 general election against the same Democratic-NPL opponent, and her decisive 73 percent win in the June 2026 Republican primary. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan voting index and the incumbent’s established fundraising and institutional support. Trygve Hammer’s rematch faces the same structural headwinds. Late developments such as a major scandal, sudden health event, or sharp national political realignment could still shift outcomes before November 3, though historical margins and current polling trends indicate limited room for such reversals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedND-AL House Election Winner
ND-AL House Election Winner
$59,855 Vol.
$59,855 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Julie Fedorchak (R)
95%
Trygve Hammer (D)
4%
$59,855 Vol.
$59,855 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Julie Fedorchak (R)
$43,062 Vol.
95%
Trygve Hammer (D)
$16,793 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Julie Fedorchak holds a commanding position in North Dakota’s at-large House race due to the state’s consistent Republican tilt, her 69 percent victory in the 2024 general election against the same Democratic-NPL opponent, and her decisive 73 percent win in the June 2026 Republican primary. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan voting index and the incumbent’s established fundraising and institutional support. Trygve Hammer’s rematch faces the same structural headwinds. Late developments such as a major scandal, sudden health event, or sharp national political realignment could still shift outcomes before November 3, though historical margins and current polling trends indicate limited room for such reversals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$59,855End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Julie Fedorchak holds a commanding position in North Dakota’s at-large House race due to the state’s consistent Republican tilt, her 69 percent victory in the 2024 general election against the same Democratic-NPL opponent, and her decisive 73 percent win in the June 2026 Republican primary. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan voting index and the incumbent’s established fundraising and institutional support. Trygve Hammer’s rematch faces the same structural headwinds. Late developments such as a major scandal, sudden health event, or sharp national political realignment could still shift outcomes before November 3, though historical margins and current polling trends indicate limited room for such reversals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$59,855End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Julie Fedorchak holds a commanding position in North Dakota’s at-large House race due to the state’s consistent Republican tilt, her 69 percent victory in the 2024 general election against the same Democratic-NPL opponent, and her decisive 73 percent win in the June 2026 Republican primary. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan voting index and the incumbent’s established fundraising and institutional support. Trygve Hammer’s rematch faces the same structural headwinds. Late developments such as a major scandal, sudden health event, or sharp national political realignment could still shift outcomes before November 3, though historical margins and current polling trends indicate limited room for such reversals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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