OpenAI’s Codex engineering lead Tibo Sottiaux has driven repeated discretionary resets of weekly usage limits for paid ChatGPT Work and Codex subscribers, most recently a full global reset announced September 7–8, 2026, to accommodate heavy Astra model rollout demand. Earlier banked resets compensated users delayed by Astra access issues in early September, while prior resets addressed compute-load spikes and usage-reporting bugs that inflated background token consumption from auto-review and subagent features. These actions reflect OpenAI’s pattern of adjusting rate limits amid rapid user growth past 25 million active accounts and competitive pressure on large language model inference capacity, with traders assigning near-certain implied probability to additional resets before late September as new capabilities continue to drive demand.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSeptember 14
62%
September 21
73%
September 28
91%
October 5
91%
$132 Vol.
September 14
62%
September 21
73%
September 28
91%
October 5
91%
A qualifying reset is a discretionary, non-scheduled action by OpenAI that, ahead of the normal reset schedule, either zeroes or refills the weekly or generally applicable usage allowance for paid Codex or ChatGPT Work subscription users, or grants those users a reset that OpenAI characterizes as a banked or redeemable rate-limit reset, regardless of whether or when individual users redeem it. A reset will still qualify if certain models with separate usage limits, certain plans, or some users are not covered due to technical exceptions, phased rollout, or plan differences.
Normal scheduled resets, resets granted only to individually selected users or accounts, temporary limit increases, additional usage or credits that do not refill existing allowances, and changes to pricing, plans, or usage caps will not qualify. Resets of OpenAI API rate limits or organizational usage tiers will also not qualify.
Only qualifying resets announced or initiated after the creation of this market will be considered.
An official announcement stating that OpenAI has reset, is resetting, or will reset the limits on the same date as the announcement will qualify if published within the market's timeframe, regardless of when the technical reset begins or is completed. Qualifying announcements include X posts by official OpenAI accounts or OpenAI employees authorized to announce Codex usage changes, for example: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/2042296046009626989 and https://x.com/sama/status/2041658719839383945.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official communications from OpenAI, including X posts published by @OpenAI, @OpenAIDevs, @sama, @thsottiaux, or any other OpenAI-operated account, as well as official OpenAI blog posts, changelogs, and in-product notices. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 2:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying reset is a discretionary, non-scheduled action by OpenAI that, ahead of the normal reset schedule, either zeroes or refills the weekly or generally applicable usage allowance for paid Codex or ChatGPT Work subscription users, or grants those users a reset that OpenAI characterizes as a banked or redeemable rate-limit reset, regardless of whether or when individual users redeem it. A reset will still qualify if certain models with separate usage limits, certain plans, or some users are not covered due to technical exceptions, phased rollout, or plan differences.
Normal scheduled resets, resets granted only to individually selected users or accounts, temporary limit increases, additional usage or credits that do not refill existing allowances, and changes to pricing, plans, or usage caps will not qualify. Resets of OpenAI API rate limits or organizational usage tiers will also not qualify.
Only qualifying resets announced or initiated after the creation of this market will be considered.
An official announcement stating that OpenAI has reset, is resetting, or will reset the limits on the same date as the announcement will qualify if published within the market's timeframe, regardless of when the technical reset begins or is completed. Qualifying announcements include X posts by official OpenAI accounts or OpenAI employees authorized to announce Codex usage changes, for example: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/2042296046009626989 and https://x.com/sama/status/2041658719839383945.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official communications from OpenAI, including X posts published by @OpenAI, @OpenAIDevs, @sama, @thsottiaux, or any other OpenAI-operated account, as well as official OpenAI blog posts, changelogs, and in-product notices. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s Codex engineering lead Tibo Sottiaux has driven repeated discretionary resets of weekly usage limits for paid ChatGPT Work and Codex subscribers, most recently a full global reset announced September 7–8, 2026, to accommodate heavy Astra model rollout demand. Earlier banked resets compensated users delayed by Astra access issues in early September, while prior resets addressed compute-load spikes and usage-reporting bugs that inflated background token consumption from auto-review and subagent features. These actions reflect OpenAI’s pattern of adjusting rate limits amid rapid user growth past 25 million active accounts and competitive pressure on large language model inference capacity, with traders assigning near-certain implied probability to additional resets before late September as new capabilities continue to drive demand.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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