Strong opening-day performance of $26.3 million for Zach Cregger’s Resident Evil reboot, including a franchise-record $8.8 million in Thursday previews, has locked in trader expectations for a domestic weekend in the $53–65 million range. This aligns with pre-release tracking fueled by the film’s 95–96% Rotten Tomatoes score, solid 91% audience approval, and appeal to gamers and horror fans, but falls well short of the 70 million threshold. Comparable September horror openers and Cregger’s prior results with Weapons support the contained outcome. An upset pushing into 70 million-plus territory would require unusually strong Saturday and Sunday walk-ups plus multiples exceeding current industry estimates, a scenario viewed as improbable given the front-loaded Friday and absence of major external catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office (Higher Brackets)
"Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office (Higher Brackets)
<70m 99.3%
79m+ 1.6%
70-73m 1.2%
73-76m <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 20, 2026
<70m
99%
70-73m
1%
73-76m
1%
76-79m
1%
79m+
2%
<70m 99.3%
79m+ 1.6%
70-73m 1.2%
73-76m <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 20, 2026
<70m
$2,634 Vol.
99%
70-73m
$1,484 Vol.
1%
73-76m
$1,274 Vol.
1%
76-79m
$306 Vol.
1%
79m+
$1,532 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to how much "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 18 - 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong opening-day performance of $26.3 million for Zach Cregger’s Resident Evil reboot, including a franchise-record $8.8 million in Thursday previews, has locked in trader expectations for a domestic weekend in the $53–65 million range. This aligns with pre-release tracking fueled by the film’s 95–96% Rotten Tomatoes score, solid 91% audience approval, and appeal to gamers and horror fans, but falls well short of the 70 million threshold. Comparable September horror openers and Cregger’s prior results with Weapons support the contained outcome. An upset pushing into 70 million-plus territory would require unusually strong Saturday and Sunday walk-ups plus multiples exceeding current industry estimates, a scenario viewed as improbable given the front-loaded Friday and absence of major external catalysts.
This market will resolve according to how much "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 18 - 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Sep 17, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
Volume
$7,231End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 18 - 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong opening-day performance of $26.3 million for Zach Cregger’s Resident Evil reboot, including a franchise-record $8.8 million in Thursday previews, has locked in trader expectations for a domestic weekend in the $53–65 million range. This aligns with pre-release tracking fueled by the film’s 95–96% Rotten Tomatoes score, solid 91% audience approval, and appeal to gamers and horror fans, but falls well short of the 70 million threshold. Comparable September horror openers and Cregger’s prior results with Weapons support the contained outcome. An upset pushing into 70 million-plus territory would require unusually strong Saturday and Sunday walk-ups plus multiples exceeding current industry estimates, a scenario viewed as improbable given the front-loaded Friday and absence of major external catalysts.
This market will resolve according to how much "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 18 - 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$7,231End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong opening-day performance of $26.3 million for Zach Cregger’s Resident Evil reboot, including a franchise-record $8.8 million in Thursday previews, has locked in trader expectations for a domestic weekend in the $53–65 million range. This aligns with pre-release tracking fueled by the film’s 95–96% Rotten Tomatoes score, solid 91% audience approval, and appeal to gamers and horror fans, but falls well short of the 70 million threshold. Comparable September horror openers and Cregger’s prior results with Weapons support the contained outcome. An upset pushing into 70 million-plus territory would require unusually strong Saturday and Sunday walk-ups plus multiples exceeding current industry estimates, a scenario viewed as improbable given the front-loaded Friday and absence of major external catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions