Incumbent Scott DesJarlais secured the Republican nomination in the August 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote in Tennessee's 4th Congressional District, a seat he has held since 2011. The district maintains a solid Republican partisan lean, even after 2026 redistricting that incorporated parts of Nashville and narrowed its margin. DesJarlais benefits from established name recognition, fundraising, and alignment with statewide Republican trends. Democratic nominee Victoria Broderick, who prevailed in her primary, has emphasized constituent services and policy critiques of the incumbent's record, yet faces structural barriers in a district where recent presidential results favored Republicans by wide margins. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national shift could alter the outcome before November 3, but current conditions support the frontrunner's position.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTN-04 House Election Winner
TN-04 House Election Winner
$39,857 Vol.
$39,857 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Scott DesJarlais (R)
93%
Victoria Broderick (D)
8%
$39,857 Vol.
$39,857 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Scott DesJarlais (R)
$20,563 Vol.
93%
Victoria Broderick (D)
$19,294 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Scott DesJarlais secured the Republican nomination in the August 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote in Tennessee's 4th Congressional District, a seat he has held since 2011. The district maintains a solid Republican partisan lean, even after 2026 redistricting that incorporated parts of Nashville and narrowed its margin. DesJarlais benefits from established name recognition, fundraising, and alignment with statewide Republican trends. Democratic nominee Victoria Broderick, who prevailed in her primary, has emphasized constituent services and policy critiques of the incumbent's record, yet faces structural barriers in a district where recent presidential results favored Republicans by wide margins. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national shift could alter the outcome before November 3, but current conditions support the frontrunner's position.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$39,857End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Scott DesJarlais secured the Republican nomination in the August 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote in Tennessee's 4th Congressional District, a seat he has held since 2011. The district maintains a solid Republican partisan lean, even after 2026 redistricting that incorporated parts of Nashville and narrowed its margin. DesJarlais benefits from established name recognition, fundraising, and alignment with statewide Republican trends. Democratic nominee Victoria Broderick, who prevailed in her primary, has emphasized constituent services and policy critiques of the incumbent's record, yet faces structural barriers in a district where recent presidential results favored Republicans by wide margins. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national shift could alter the outcome before November 3, but current conditions support the frontrunner's position.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$39,857End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Scott DesJarlais secured the Republican nomination in the August 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote in Tennessee's 4th Congressional District, a seat he has held since 2011. The district maintains a solid Republican partisan lean, even after 2026 redistricting that incorporated parts of Nashville and narrowed its margin. DesJarlais benefits from established name recognition, fundraising, and alignment with statewide Republican trends. Democratic nominee Victoria Broderick, who prevailed in her primary, has emphasized constituent services and policy critiques of the incumbent's record, yet faces structural barriers in a district where recent presidential results favored Republicans by wide margins. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national shift could alter the outcome before November 3, but current conditions support the frontrunner's position.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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