Incumbent Suzan DelBene holds a commanding position in Washington's 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting her established record since 2012, substantial fundraising edge, and the district's Democratic lean. In the August 4 top-two primary, she secured over 54 percent while Republican Mary Silva advanced with roughly 27 percent, consistent with nonpartisan forecasts rating the seat solid or safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 95.9 percent for DelBene aligns with these structural factors, including limited opposition resources and Silva's minimal campaign receipts. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing could still alter the outcome, though historical patterns in similar districts show such shifts rarely overcome entrenched incumbency advantages before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWA-01 House Election Winner
WA-01 House Election Winner
$45,611 Vol.
$45,611 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Suzan DelBene (D)
96%
Mary Silva (R)
2%
$45,611 Vol.
$45,611 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Suzan DelBene (D)
$24,449 Vol.
96%
Mary Silva (R)
$21,162 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Suzan DelBene holds a commanding position in Washington's 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting her established record since 2012, substantial fundraising edge, and the district's Democratic lean. In the August 4 top-two primary, she secured over 54 percent while Republican Mary Silva advanced with roughly 27 percent, consistent with nonpartisan forecasts rating the seat solid or safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 95.9 percent for DelBene aligns with these structural factors, including limited opposition resources and Silva's minimal campaign receipts. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing could still alter the outcome, though historical patterns in similar districts show such shifts rarely overcome entrenched incumbency advantages before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$45,611End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Suzan DelBene holds a commanding position in Washington's 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting her established record since 2012, substantial fundraising edge, and the district's Democratic lean. In the August 4 top-two primary, she secured over 54 percent while Republican Mary Silva advanced with roughly 27 percent, consistent with nonpartisan forecasts rating the seat solid or safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 95.9 percent for DelBene aligns with these structural factors, including limited opposition resources and Silva's minimal campaign receipts. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing could still alter the outcome, though historical patterns in similar districts show such shifts rarely overcome entrenched incumbency advantages before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$45,611End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Suzan DelBene holds a commanding position in Washington's 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting her established record since 2012, substantial fundraising edge, and the district's Democratic lean. In the August 4 top-two primary, she secured over 54 percent while Republican Mary Silva advanced with roughly 27 percent, consistent with nonpartisan forecasts rating the seat solid or safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 95.9 percent for DelBene aligns with these structural factors, including limited opposition resources and Silva's minimal campaign receipts. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing could still alter the outcome, though historical patterns in similar districts show such shifts rarely overcome entrenched incumbency advantages before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions