Recent August ISM Services PMI strength at 55.4—exceeding consensus near 54.2 and July’s 54.1—anchors trader expectations for September amid resilient services demand, with business activity at 61.7 and new orders at 60.9 both accelerating. Elevated prices paid at 72.6 reflect persistent input cost pressures from tariffs and Middle East supply disruptions, while employment contraction at 47.8 signals cautious hiring despite backlogs and inventories rising. Market-implied odds cluster around 53–54.9, balancing this momentum against the 12-month average near 53.7 and potential moderation in a seasonally variable report due early October. The wide distribution highlights uncertainty over whether demand gains persist or revert toward historical norms.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui53.0 to 53.9 33%
54.0 to 54.9 21%
57.0 to 57.9 16.3%
56.0 to 56.9 14%
$15,181 Vol.
$15,181 Vol.
Oct 5, 2026
<51.0
1%
51.0 to 51.9
1%
52.0 to 52.9
5%
53.0 to 53.9
33%
54.0 to 54.9
21%
55.0 to 55.9
14%
56.0 to 56.9
14%
57.0 to 57.9
16%
58.0 to 58.9
4%
59.0+
10%
53.0 to 53.9 33%
54.0 to 54.9 21%
57.0 to 57.9 16.3%
56.0 to 56.9 14%
$15,181 Vol.
$15,181 Vol.
Oct 5, 2026
<51.0
$902 Vol.
1%
51.0 to 51.9
$157 Vol.
1%
52.0 to 52.9
$157 Vol.
5%
53.0 to 53.9
$1,851 Vol.
33%
54.0 to 54.9
$6,242 Vol.
21%
55.0 to 55.9
$229 Vol.
14%
56.0 to 56.9
$790 Vol.
14%
57.0 to 57.9
$4,467 Vol.
16%
58.0 to 58.9
$189 Vol.
4%
59.0+
$198 Vol.
10%
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August ISM Services PMI strength at 55.4—exceeding consensus near 54.2 and July’s 54.1—anchors trader expectations for September amid resilient services demand, with business activity at 61.7 and new orders at 60.9 both accelerating. Elevated prices paid at 72.6 reflect persistent input cost pressures from tariffs and Middle East supply disruptions, while employment contraction at 47.8 signals cautious hiring despite backlogs and inventories rising. Market-implied odds cluster around 53–54.9, balancing this momentum against the 12-month average near 53.7 and potential moderation in a seasonally variable report due early October. The wide distribution highlights uncertainty over whether demand gains persist or revert toward historical norms.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 3, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Volume
$15,181Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August ISM Services PMI strength at 55.4—exceeding consensus near 54.2 and July’s 54.1—anchors trader expectations for September amid resilient services demand, with business activity at 61.7 and new orders at 60.9 both accelerating. Elevated prices paid at 72.6 reflect persistent input cost pressures from tariffs and Middle East supply disruptions, while employment contraction at 47.8 signals cautious hiring despite backlogs and inventories rising. Market-implied odds cluster around 53–54.9, balancing this momentum against the 12-month average near 53.7 and potential moderation in a seasonally variable report due early October. The wide distribution highlights uncertainty over whether demand gains persist or revert toward historical norms.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$15,181Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent August ISM Services PMI strength at 55.4—exceeding consensus near 54.2 and July’s 54.1—anchors trader expectations for September amid resilient services demand, with business activity at 61.7 and new orders at 60.9 both accelerating. Elevated prices paid at 72.6 reflect persistent input cost pressures from tariffs and Middle East supply disruptions, while employment contraction at 47.8 signals cautious hiring despite backlogs and inventories rising. Market-implied odds cluster around 53–54.9, balancing this momentum against the 12-month average near 53.7 and potential moderation in a seasonally variable report due early October. The wide distribution highlights uncertainty over whether demand gains persist or revert toward historical norms.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan