Michigan's 7th congressional district remains one of the nation's closest House contests, with trader consensus reflecting its toss-up status across major forecasters. Incumbent Republican Tom Barrett, who flipped the seat in 2024 after Democrat Elissa Slotkin vacated it for the Senate, holds advantages from incumbency and the district's recent Republican lean. Democratic nominee William Lawrence, a progressive activist who prevailed in the August 4 primary against more moderate rivals, emphasizes climate policy, opposition to data centers, higher taxes on the wealthy, and universal healthcare. The narrow spread stems from the district's mix of suburban and university areas around Lansing, where Lawrence's grassroots appeal competes against Barrett's veteran background and party infrastructure. Key upcoming catalysts include fall polling trends, campaign spending patterns, and national midterm dynamics that could shift margins before the November 3 general election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMI-07 House Election Winner
MI-07 House Election Winner
$20,180 Vol.
$20,180 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
William Lawrence (D)
51%
Tom Barrett (R)
46%
$20,180 Vol.
$20,180 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
William Lawrence (D)
$13,259 Vol.
51%
Tom Barrett (R)
$6,921 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 7th congressional district remains one of the nation's closest House contests, with trader consensus reflecting its toss-up status across major forecasters. Incumbent Republican Tom Barrett, who flipped the seat in 2024 after Democrat Elissa Slotkin vacated it for the Senate, holds advantages from incumbency and the district's recent Republican lean. Democratic nominee William Lawrence, a progressive activist who prevailed in the August 4 primary against more moderate rivals, emphasizes climate policy, opposition to data centers, higher taxes on the wealthy, and universal healthcare. The narrow spread stems from the district's mix of suburban and university areas around Lansing, where Lawrence's grassroots appeal competes against Barrett's veteran background and party infrastructure. Key upcoming catalysts include fall polling trends, campaign spending patterns, and national midterm dynamics that could shift margins before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$20,180Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 7th congressional district remains one of the nation's closest House contests, with trader consensus reflecting its toss-up status across major forecasters. Incumbent Republican Tom Barrett, who flipped the seat in 2024 after Democrat Elissa Slotkin vacated it for the Senate, holds advantages from incumbency and the district's recent Republican lean. Democratic nominee William Lawrence, a progressive activist who prevailed in the August 4 primary against more moderate rivals, emphasizes climate policy, opposition to data centers, higher taxes on the wealthy, and universal healthcare. The narrow spread stems from the district's mix of suburban and university areas around Lansing, where Lawrence's grassroots appeal competes against Barrett's veteran background and party infrastructure. Key upcoming catalysts include fall polling trends, campaign spending patterns, and national midterm dynamics that could shift margins before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$20,180Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 7th congressional district remains one of the nation's closest House contests, with trader consensus reflecting its toss-up status across major forecasters. Incumbent Republican Tom Barrett, who flipped the seat in 2024 after Democrat Elissa Slotkin vacated it for the Senate, holds advantages from incumbency and the district's recent Republican lean. Democratic nominee William Lawrence, a progressive activist who prevailed in the August 4 primary against more moderate rivals, emphasizes climate policy, opposition to data centers, higher taxes on the wealthy, and universal healthcare. The narrow spread stems from the district's mix of suburban and university areas around Lansing, where Lawrence's grassroots appeal competes against Barrett's veteran background and party infrastructure. Key upcoming catalysts include fall polling trends, campaign spending patterns, and national midterm dynamics that could shift margins before the November 3 general election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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