Dr. Furlan (PSD), the former mayor of Macapá, holds a commanding lead in the Amapá gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first round, backed by multiple late-August and early-September polls showing him at 55-66% against incumbent Clécio Luís (União) in the 26-35% range. His advantage stems from strong approval of his municipal record on infrastructure, health, and education, combined with higher rejection ratings for the sitting governor. Active street campaigning, including recent walks and rallies across Macapá, Santana, and southern municipalities, has reinforced visibility. Minor candidates such as Marcos Reategui, Jairo Palheta, and Carlos Cley register negligible support. With the first-round threshold in reach for the leader and runoff simulations also favoring Furlan, trader pricing aligns with the sustained polling gap and limited time for shifts before voting.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoDott. Furlan 87%
Clécio Luís 5.5%
Marcos Reategui 4.5%
Jairo Palheta 2.2%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ott 2026
Dott. Furlan
87%
Clécio Luís
5%
Marcos Reategui
5%
Jairo Palheta
2%
Carlos Cley
1%
Dott. Furlan 87%
Clécio Luís 5.5%
Marcos Reategui 4.5%
Jairo Palheta 2.2%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ott 2026
Dott. Furlan
$6,336 Vol.
87%
Clécio Luís
$318 Vol.
5%
Marcos Reategui
$209 Vol.
5%
Jairo Palheta
$374 Vol.
2%
Carlos Cley
$128 Vol.
1%
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Furlan (PSD), the former mayor of Macapá, holds a commanding lead in the Amapá gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first round, backed by multiple late-August and early-September polls showing him at 55-66% against incumbent Clécio Luís (União) in the 26-35% range. His advantage stems from strong approval of his municipal record on infrastructure, health, and education, combined with higher rejection ratings for the sitting governor. Active street campaigning, including recent walks and rallies across Macapá, Santana, and southern municipalities, has reinforced visibility. Minor candidates such as Marcos Reategui, Jairo Palheta, and Carlos Cley register negligible support. With the first-round threshold in reach for the leader and runoff simulations also favoring Furlan, trader pricing aligns with the sustained polling gap and limited time for shifts before voting.
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ET
Volume
$7,365Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Furlan (PSD), the former mayor of Macapá, holds a commanding lead in the Amapá gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first round, backed by multiple late-August and early-September polls showing him at 55-66% against incumbent Clécio Luís (União) in the 26-35% range. His advantage stems from strong approval of his municipal record on infrastructure, health, and education, combined with higher rejection ratings for the sitting governor. Active street campaigning, including recent walks and rallies across Macapá, Santana, and southern municipalities, has reinforced visibility. Minor candidates such as Marcos Reategui, Jairo Palheta, and Carlos Cley register negligible support. With the first-round threshold in reach for the leader and runoff simulations also favoring Furlan, trader pricing aligns with the sustained polling gap and limited time for shifts before voting.
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$7,365Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Dr. Furlan (PSD), the former mayor of Macapá, holds a commanding lead in the Amapá gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first round, backed by multiple late-August and early-September polls showing him at 55-66% against incumbent Clécio Luís (União) in the 26-35% range. His advantage stems from strong approval of his municipal record on infrastructure, health, and education, combined with higher rejection ratings for the sitting governor. Active street campaigning, including recent walks and rallies across Macapá, Santana, and southern municipalities, has reinforced visibility. Minor candidates such as Marcos Reategui, Jairo Palheta, and Carlos Cley register negligible support. With the first-round threshold in reach for the leader and runoff simulations also favoring Furlan, trader pricing aligns with the sustained polling gap and limited time for shifts before voting.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti