Incumbent Democrat Bill Keating holds a commanding position in the Massachusetts 9th congressional district race, reflecting the area's consistent Democratic lean and his long record of re-election in a district spanning Cape Cod, the South Shore, and parts of the South Coast. Keating secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary with roughly 77-80% of the vote, while Republican nominee Tyler MacAllister advanced from an uncontested or minimally contested primary. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Keating's 2024 margin. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors. Potential shifts could arise from a national Republican surge in the November 3 general election, unexpected turnout changes, or late-breaking developments affecting either candidate.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMA-09 House Election Winner
MA-09 House Election Winner
$23,264 Vol.
$23,264 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Bill Keating (D)
95%
Tyler MacAllister (R)
5%
$23,264 Vol.
$23,264 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Bill Keating (D)
$8,275 Vol.
95%
Tyler MacAllister (R)
$14,989 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bill Keating holds a commanding position in the Massachusetts 9th congressional district race, reflecting the area's consistent Democratic lean and his long record of re-election in a district spanning Cape Cod, the South Shore, and parts of the South Coast. Keating secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary with roughly 77-80% of the vote, while Republican nominee Tyler MacAllister advanced from an uncontested or minimally contested primary. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Keating's 2024 margin. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors. Potential shifts could arise from a national Republican surge in the November 3 general election, unexpected turnout changes, or late-breaking developments affecting either candidate.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$23,264Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bill Keating holds a commanding position in the Massachusetts 9th congressional district race, reflecting the area's consistent Democratic lean and his long record of re-election in a district spanning Cape Cod, the South Shore, and parts of the South Coast. Keating secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary with roughly 77-80% of the vote, while Republican nominee Tyler MacAllister advanced from an uncontested or minimally contested primary. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Keating's 2024 margin. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors. Potential shifts could arise from a national Republican surge in the November 3 general election, unexpected turnout changes, or late-breaking developments affecting either candidate.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$23,264Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Bill Keating holds a commanding position in the Massachusetts 9th congressional district race, reflecting the area's consistent Democratic lean and his long record of re-election in a district spanning Cape Cod, the South Shore, and parts of the South Coast. Keating secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary with roughly 77-80% of the vote, while Republican nominee Tyler MacAllister advanced from an uncontested or minimally contested primary. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Keating's 2024 margin. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors. Potential shifts could arise from a national Republican surge in the November 3 general election, unexpected turnout changes, or late-breaking developments affecting either candidate.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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