Kweisi Mfume’s incumbency and the Maryland 7th District’s consistent Democratic lean underpin trader consensus near 97% for the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. The district, anchored in Baltimore, delivered Mfume an 80% margin in 2024 against the same Republican opponent, Scott Collier. Mfume secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 with roughly 70% of the primary vote, while Collier advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting partisan composition, historical turnout patterns, and limited crossover support. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political shift could still alter the outcome, though structural factors make significant movement improbable before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera MD-07
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera MD-07
$24,398 Vol.
$24,398 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Kweisi Mfume (D)
97%
Scott Collier (R)
2%
$24,398 Vol.
$24,398 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Kweisi Mfume (D)
$15,273 Vol.
97%
Scott Collier (R)
$9,125 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kweisi Mfume’s incumbency and the Maryland 7th District’s consistent Democratic lean underpin trader consensus near 97% for the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. The district, anchored in Baltimore, delivered Mfume an 80% margin in 2024 against the same Republican opponent, Scott Collier. Mfume secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 with roughly 70% of the primary vote, while Collier advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting partisan composition, historical turnout patterns, and limited crossover support. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political shift could still alter the outcome, though structural factors make significant movement improbable before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$24,398Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kweisi Mfume’s incumbency and the Maryland 7th District’s consistent Democratic lean underpin trader consensus near 97% for the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. The district, anchored in Baltimore, delivered Mfume an 80% margin in 2024 against the same Republican opponent, Scott Collier. Mfume secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 with roughly 70% of the primary vote, while Collier advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting partisan composition, historical turnout patterns, and limited crossover support. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political shift could still alter the outcome, though structural factors make significant movement improbable before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,398Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Kweisi Mfume’s incumbency and the Maryland 7th District’s consistent Democratic lean underpin trader consensus near 97% for the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. The district, anchored in Baltimore, delivered Mfume an 80% margin in 2024 against the same Republican opponent, Scott Collier. Mfume secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 with roughly 70% of the primary vote, while Collier advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting partisan composition, historical turnout patterns, and limited crossover support. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political shift could still alter the outcome, though structural factors make significant movement improbable before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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