Rashida Tlaib holds a commanding position in Michigan's 12th congressional district due to the seat's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in a partisan voting index exceeding D+20 and her 2024 general election margin of nearly 45 points. She secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote against two challengers, while Republican nominee James Hooper advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Tlaib's substantial fundraising edge and established local support further reinforce trader consensus. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal or significant national partisan swing that overcomes the district's structural Democratic advantage.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera MI-12
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera MI-12
$39,214 Vol.
$39,214 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Rashida Tlaib (D)
96%
James Hooper (R)
1%
$39,214 Vol.
$39,214 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Rashida Tlaib (D)
$21,751 Vol.
96%
James Hooper (R)
$17,463 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rashida Tlaib holds a commanding position in Michigan's 12th congressional district due to the seat's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in a partisan voting index exceeding D+20 and her 2024 general election margin of nearly 45 points. She secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote against two challengers, while Republican nominee James Hooper advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Tlaib's substantial fundraising edge and established local support further reinforce trader consensus. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal or significant national partisan swing that overcomes the district's structural Democratic advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$39,214Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rashida Tlaib holds a commanding position in Michigan's 12th congressional district due to the seat's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in a partisan voting index exceeding D+20 and her 2024 general election margin of nearly 45 points. She secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote against two challengers, while Republican nominee James Hooper advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Tlaib's substantial fundraising edge and established local support further reinforce trader consensus. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal or significant national partisan swing that overcomes the district's structural Democratic advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$39,214Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Rashida Tlaib holds a commanding position in Michigan's 12th congressional district due to the seat's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in a partisan voting index exceeding D+20 and her 2024 general election margin of nearly 45 points. She secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote against two challengers, while Republican nominee James Hooper advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Tlaib's substantial fundraising edge and established local support further reinforce trader consensus. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal or significant national partisan swing that overcomes the district's structural Democratic advantage.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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