Betty McCollum’s commanding position in the Minnesota 4th District race stems from the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for the incumbent since 2001. McCollum easily secured the Democratic-Farmer-Labor nomination in the August 11 primary, while Republican nominee Paul Wikstrom, an engineer, prevailed in a low-turnout GOP contest but faces limited name recognition and fundraising. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus aligns with the district’s structural fundamentals and McCollum’s reelection record, though a late scandal, health development, or unprecedented national wave could still alter the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMN-04 House Election Winner
MN-04 House Election Winner
$24,286 Vol.
$24,286 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Betty McCollum (D)
95%
Paul Wikstrom (R)
4%
$24,286 Vol.
$24,286 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Betty McCollum (D)
$4,052 Vol.
95%
Paul Wikstrom (R)
$20,235 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Betty McCollum’s commanding position in the Minnesota 4th District race stems from the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for the incumbent since 2001. McCollum easily secured the Democratic-Farmer-Labor nomination in the August 11 primary, while Republican nominee Paul Wikstrom, an engineer, prevailed in a low-turnout GOP contest but faces limited name recognition and fundraising. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus aligns with the district’s structural fundamentals and McCollum’s reelection record, though a late scandal, health development, or unprecedented national wave could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$24,286Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Betty McCollum’s commanding position in the Minnesota 4th District race stems from the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for the incumbent since 2001. McCollum easily secured the Democratic-Farmer-Labor nomination in the August 11 primary, while Republican nominee Paul Wikstrom, an engineer, prevailed in a low-turnout GOP contest but faces limited name recognition and fundraising. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus aligns with the district’s structural fundamentals and McCollum’s reelection record, though a late scandal, health development, or unprecedented national wave could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,286Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Betty McCollum’s commanding position in the Minnesota 4th District race stems from the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for the incumbent since 2001. McCollum easily secured the Democratic-Farmer-Labor nomination in the August 11 primary, while Republican nominee Paul Wikstrom, an engineer, prevailed in a low-turnout GOP contest but faces limited name recognition and fundraising. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus aligns with the district’s structural fundamentals and McCollum’s reelection record, though a late scandal, health development, or unprecedented national wave could still alter the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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