Bob Onder holds a commanding lead in the Missouri 3rd congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican tilt, his status as incumbent after winning the seat in 2024, and strong primary performance where he secured nomination with over 66 percent of the vote. Fundraising totals exceeding $950,000, endorsements from prominent Republican figures, and race ratings classifying the contest as solid or safe Republican reinforce trader consensus around his 93 percent implied probability. Bethany Mann, the Democratic nominee and repeat candidate, faces structural headwinds in a district that has remained in Republican hands since 2013. Late developments such as the ongoing redistricting litigation could theoretically alter the map, but significant shifts would require major unforeseen events like candidate withdrawal or substantial changes in voter turnout patterns before the November general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMO-03 House Election Winner
MO-03 House Election Winner
$28,371 Vol.
$28,371 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Bob Onder (R)
93%
Bethany Mann (D)
7%
$28,371 Vol.
$28,371 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Bob Onder (R)
$12,625 Vol.
93%
Bethany Mann (D)
$15,746 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bob Onder holds a commanding lead in the Missouri 3rd congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican tilt, his status as incumbent after winning the seat in 2024, and strong primary performance where he secured nomination with over 66 percent of the vote. Fundraising totals exceeding $950,000, endorsements from prominent Republican figures, and race ratings classifying the contest as solid or safe Republican reinforce trader consensus around his 93 percent implied probability. Bethany Mann, the Democratic nominee and repeat candidate, faces structural headwinds in a district that has remained in Republican hands since 2013. Late developments such as the ongoing redistricting litigation could theoretically alter the map, but significant shifts would require major unforeseen events like candidate withdrawal or substantial changes in voter turnout patterns before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$28,371Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bob Onder holds a commanding lead in the Missouri 3rd congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican tilt, his status as incumbent after winning the seat in 2024, and strong primary performance where he secured nomination with over 66 percent of the vote. Fundraising totals exceeding $950,000, endorsements from prominent Republican figures, and race ratings classifying the contest as solid or safe Republican reinforce trader consensus around his 93 percent implied probability. Bethany Mann, the Democratic nominee and repeat candidate, faces structural headwinds in a district that has remained in Republican hands since 2013. Late developments such as the ongoing redistricting litigation could theoretically alter the map, but significant shifts would require major unforeseen events like candidate withdrawal or substantial changes in voter turnout patterns before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$28,371Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Bob Onder holds a commanding lead in the Missouri 3rd congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican tilt, his status as incumbent after winning the seat in 2024, and strong primary performance where he secured nomination with over 66 percent of the vote. Fundraising totals exceeding $950,000, endorsements from prominent Republican figures, and race ratings classifying the contest as solid or safe Republican reinforce trader consensus around his 93 percent implied probability. Bethany Mann, the Democratic nominee and repeat candidate, faces structural headwinds in a district that has remained in Republican hands since 2013. Late developments such as the ongoing redistricting litigation could theoretically alter the map, but significant shifts would require major unforeseen events like candidate withdrawal or substantial changes in voter turnout patterns before the November general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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