North Carolina’s 4th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat covering Durham and Orange counties plus portions of Chatham and Wake, where the party has held the seat for decades and won by wide margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Valerie Foushee secured the Democratic nomination in a competitive March 2026 primary and faces only modest Republican opposition from Mahesh Ganorkar in the November general election. All major nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s partisan composition and the absence of polling or fundraising data indicating a competitive contest. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the structural fundamentals, though late-cycle developments such as a significant scandal or an unprecedented national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the margin.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera NC-04
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera NC-04
$45,730 Vol.
$45,730 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Valerie Foushee (D)
95%
Max Ganorkar (R)
3%
$45,730 Vol.
$45,730 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Valerie Foushee (D)
$14,801 Vol.
95%
Max Ganorkar (R)
$30,929 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina’s 4th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat covering Durham and Orange counties plus portions of Chatham and Wake, where the party has held the seat for decades and won by wide margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Valerie Foushee secured the Democratic nomination in a competitive March 2026 primary and faces only modest Republican opposition from Mahesh Ganorkar in the November general election. All major nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s partisan composition and the absence of polling or fundraising data indicating a competitive contest. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the structural fundamentals, though late-cycle developments such as a significant scandal or an unprecedented national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$45,730Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina’s 4th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat covering Durham and Orange counties plus portions of Chatham and Wake, where the party has held the seat for decades and won by wide margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Valerie Foushee secured the Democratic nomination in a competitive March 2026 primary and faces only modest Republican opposition from Mahesh Ganorkar in the November general election. All major nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s partisan composition and the absence of polling or fundraising data indicating a competitive contest. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the structural fundamentals, though late-cycle developments such as a significant scandal or an unprecedented national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$45,730Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...North Carolina’s 4th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat covering Durham and Orange counties plus portions of Chatham and Wake, where the party has held the seat for decades and won by wide margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Valerie Foushee secured the Democratic nomination in a competitive March 2026 primary and faces only modest Republican opposition from Mahesh Ganorkar in the November general election. All major nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s partisan composition and the absence of polling or fundraising data indicating a competitive contest. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the structural fundamentals, though late-cycle developments such as a significant scandal or an unprecedented national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the margin.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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