Incumbent Democratic Representative Val Hoyle holds a commanding position in Oregon’s 4th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s D+6 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Analysts rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, citing Hoyle’s primary win with roughly 75 percent of the vote and the structural advantages of incumbency in a district spanning Eugene, Corvallis, and coastal areas. Republican nominee Monique DeSpain, the 2024 nominee who won her primary by a wide margin, has raised competitive funds in recent quarters but faces registration and turnout headwinds typical for the party in this area. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for Hoyle aligns with these fundamentals, though late national shifts or unexpected events could narrow the margin in the final weeks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoOR-04 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
OR-04 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
$21,760 Vol.
$21,760 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Val Hoyle (D)
94%
Monique DeSpain (R)
6%
$21,760 Vol.
$21,760 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Val Hoyle (D)
$14,789 Vol.
94%
Monique DeSpain (R)
$6,972 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Val Hoyle holds a commanding position in Oregon’s 4th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s D+6 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Analysts rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, citing Hoyle’s primary win with roughly 75 percent of the vote and the structural advantages of incumbency in a district spanning Eugene, Corvallis, and coastal areas. Republican nominee Monique DeSpain, the 2024 nominee who won her primary by a wide margin, has raised competitive funds in recent quarters but faces registration and turnout headwinds typical for the party in this area. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for Hoyle aligns with these fundamentals, though late national shifts or unexpected events could narrow the margin in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$21,760Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Val Hoyle holds a commanding position in Oregon’s 4th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s D+6 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Analysts rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, citing Hoyle’s primary win with roughly 75 percent of the vote and the structural advantages of incumbency in a district spanning Eugene, Corvallis, and coastal areas. Republican nominee Monique DeSpain, the 2024 nominee who won her primary by a wide margin, has raised competitive funds in recent quarters but faces registration and turnout headwinds typical for the party in this area. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for Hoyle aligns with these fundamentals, though late national shifts or unexpected events could narrow the margin in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,760Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Val Hoyle holds a commanding position in Oregon’s 4th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s D+6 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Analysts rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, citing Hoyle’s primary win with roughly 75 percent of the vote and the structural advantages of incumbency in a district spanning Eugene, Corvallis, and coastal areas. Republican nominee Monique DeSpain, the 2024 nominee who won her primary by a wide margin, has raised competitive funds in recent quarters but faces registration and turnout headwinds typical for the party in this area. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for Hoyle aligns with these fundamentals, though late national shifts or unexpected events could narrow the margin in the final weeks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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