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icon for Elezioni al Senato del Pará: 2° posto

Elezioni al Senato del Pará: 2° posto

icon for Elezioni al Senato del Pará: 2° posto

Elezioni al Senato del Pará: 2° posto

Delegado Éder Mauro 65%

Zequinha Marinho 22%

Celso Sabino 8%

Helder 5.2%

Polymarket

$24,607 Vol.

Delegado Éder Mauro 65%

Zequinha Marinho 22%

Celso Sabino 8%

Helder 5.2%

Polymarket

$24,607 Vol.

icon for Delegado Éder Mauro

Delegado Éder Mauro

$13,545 Vol.

65%

icon for Zequinha Marinho

Zequinha Marinho

$7,075 Vol.

22%

icon for Celso Sabino

Celso Sabino

$480 Vol.

8%

icon for Helder

Helder

$1,525 Vol.

5%

icon for Edlaine Rodrigues

Edlaine Rodrigues

$551 Vol.

3%

icon for Chicão

Chicão

$235 Vol.

2%

icon for Breno Guimarães

Breno Guimarães

$240 Vol.

2%

icon for Conti

Conti

$272 Vol.

2%

icon for Fernanda Lopes

Fernanda Lopes

$208 Vol.

1%

icon for Gizelle Freitas

Gizelle Freitas

$266 Vol.

1%

icon for Willem da Silva

Willem da Silva

$211 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Recent polling in the Pará Senate race positions Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) as the clearest frontrunner for second place behind leader Helder Barbalho (MDB).** A September 2026 Real Time Big Data survey showed Helder at 36% consolidated (first and second preferences), Éder Mauro at 17%, and Celso Sabino, Chicão, and Zequinha Marinho tied at 12% each. Earlier Quaest and Atlas polls from July–August produced similar patterns, with Éder Mauro holding second overall while the second-vote preference remained more fragmented. Éder Mauro’s consistent placement, PL party backing, and name recognition among voters tracking security and law-and-order themes have sustained his lead in trader assessments for the second seat. The October 2026 election timeline leaves limited room for major late shifts absent new polling or campaign developments.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$24,607
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Recent polling in the Pará Senate race positions Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) as the clearest frontrunner for second place behind leader Helder Barbalho (MDB).** A September 2026 Real Time Big Data survey showed Helder at 36% consolidated (first and second preferences), Éder Mauro at 17%, and Celso Sabino, Chicão, and Zequinha Marinho tied at 12% each. Earlier Quaest and Atlas polls from July–August produced similar patterns, with Éder Mauro holding second overall while the second-vote preference remained more fragmented. Éder Mauro’s consistent placement, PL party backing, and name recognition among voters tracking security and law-and-order themes have sustained his lead in trader assessments for the second seat. The October 2026 election timeline leaves limited room for major late shifts absent new polling or campaign developments.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$24,607
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

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"Elezioni al Senato del Pará: 2° posto" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 11 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Delegado Éder Mauro" a 65%, seguito da "Zequinha Marinho" a 22%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 65¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 65% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Elezioni al Senato del Pará: 2° posto" ha generato $24.6K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Aug 17, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Elezioni al Senato del Pará: 2° posto", esplora i 11 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Elezioni al Senato del Pará: 2° posto" è "Delegado Éder Mauro" a 65%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 65% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Zequinha Marinho" a 22%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Elezioni al Senato del Pará: 2° posto" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.