**Recent polling in the Pará Senate race positions Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) as the clearest frontrunner for second place behind leader Helder Barbalho (MDB).** A September 2026 Real Time Big Data survey showed Helder at 36% consolidated (first and second preferences), Éder Mauro at 17%, and Celso Sabino, Chicão, and Zequinha Marinho tied at 12% each. Earlier Quaest and Atlas polls from July–August produced similar patterns, with Éder Mauro holding second overall while the second-vote preference remained more fragmented. Éder Mauro’s consistent placement, PL party backing, and name recognition among voters tracking security and law-and-order themes have sustained his lead in trader assessments for the second seat. The October 2026 election timeline leaves limited room for major late shifts absent new polling or campaign developments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoDelegado Éder Mauro 65%
Zequinha Marinho 22%
Celso Sabino 8%
Helder 5.2%
$24,607 Vol.
$24,607 Vol.

Delegado Éder Mauro
65%

Zequinha Marinho
22%

Celso Sabino
8%

Helder
5%

Edlaine Rodrigues
3%

Chicão
2%

Breno Guimarães
2%

Conti
2%

Fernanda Lopes
1%

Gizelle Freitas
1%

Willem da Silva
<1%
Delegado Éder Mauro 65%
Zequinha Marinho 22%
Celso Sabino 8%
Helder 5.2%
$24,607 Vol.
$24,607 Vol.

Delegado Éder Mauro
65%

Zequinha Marinho
22%

Celso Sabino
8%

Helder
5%

Edlaine Rodrigues
3%

Chicão
2%

Breno Guimarães
2%

Conti
2%

Fernanda Lopes
1%

Gizelle Freitas
1%

Willem da Silva
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Recent polling in the Pará Senate race positions Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) as the clearest frontrunner for second place behind leader Helder Barbalho (MDB).** A September 2026 Real Time Big Data survey showed Helder at 36% consolidated (first and second preferences), Éder Mauro at 17%, and Celso Sabino, Chicão, and Zequinha Marinho tied at 12% each. Earlier Quaest and Atlas polls from July–August produced similar patterns, with Éder Mauro holding second overall while the second-vote preference remained more fragmented. Éder Mauro’s consistent placement, PL party backing, and name recognition among voters tracking security and law-and-order themes have sustained his lead in trader assessments for the second seat. The October 2026 election timeline leaves limited room for major late shifts absent new polling or campaign developments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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