Helder Barbalho maintains a commanding lead in the Pará Senate race for first place, reflected in the market's elevated probability for his outcome. Recent polling from AtlasIntel, conducted September 5–10, 2026, shows him at 42.8% for the initial vote, well ahead of Delegado Éder Mauro at 26.5%, with Zequinha Marinho, Celso Sabino, and Chicão trailing further behind. Earlier surveys from Real Time Big Data and Quaest in August and early September similarly placed Barbalho in the mid-to-high 30s percent range or above, underscoring sustained voter preference tied to his prior statewide role and party infrastructure. The second Senate seat remains more competitive among lower-polling contenders, but the first-place contest shows limited movement, supporting trader consensus around Barbalho's frontrunner status ahead of the October ballot.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHelder 80%
Delegado Éder Mauro 14.8%
Edlaine Rodrigues 4.7%
Zequinha Marinho 2.9%
$18,377 Vol.
$18,377 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Helder
80%
Delegado Éder Mauro
15%
Edlaine Rodrigues
5%
Zequinha Marinho
3%
Breno Guimarães
1%
Fernanda Lopes
1%
Celso Sabino
1%
Conti
<1%
Gizelle Freitas
<1%
Willem da Silva
<1%
Chicão
<1%
Helder 80%
Delegado Éder Mauro 14.8%
Edlaine Rodrigues 4.7%
Zequinha Marinho 2.9%
$18,377 Vol.
$18,377 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Helder
$12,734 Vol.
80%
Delegado Éder Mauro
$635 Vol.
15%
Edlaine Rodrigues
$609 Vol.
5%
Zequinha Marinho
$574 Vol.
3%
Breno Guimarães
$534 Vol.
1%
Fernanda Lopes
$731 Vol.
1%
Celso Sabino
$504 Vol.
1%
Conti
$556 Vol.
<1%
Gizelle Freitas
$567 Vol.
<1%
Willem da Silva
$441 Vol.
<1%
Chicão
$493 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Helder Barbalho maintains a commanding lead in the Pará Senate race for first place, reflected in the market's elevated probability for his outcome. Recent polling from AtlasIntel, conducted September 5–10, 2026, shows him at 42.8% for the initial vote, well ahead of Delegado Éder Mauro at 26.5%, with Zequinha Marinho, Celso Sabino, and Chicão trailing further behind. Earlier surveys from Real Time Big Data and Quaest in August and early September similarly placed Barbalho in the mid-to-high 30s percent range or above, underscoring sustained voter preference tied to his prior statewide role and party infrastructure. The second Senate seat remains more competitive among lower-polling contenders, but the first-place contest shows limited movement, supporting trader consensus around Barbalho's frontrunner status ahead of the October ballot.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
Volume
$18,377Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Helder Barbalho maintains a commanding lead in the Pará Senate race for first place, reflected in the market's elevated probability for his outcome. Recent polling from AtlasIntel, conducted September 5–10, 2026, shows him at 42.8% for the initial vote, well ahead of Delegado Éder Mauro at 26.5%, with Zequinha Marinho, Celso Sabino, and Chicão trailing further behind. Earlier surveys from Real Time Big Data and Quaest in August and early September similarly placed Barbalho in the mid-to-high 30s percent range or above, underscoring sustained voter preference tied to his prior statewide role and party infrastructure. The second Senate seat remains more competitive among lower-polling contenders, but the first-place contest shows limited movement, supporting trader consensus around Barbalho's frontrunner status ahead of the October ballot.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$18,377Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Helder Barbalho maintains a commanding lead in the Pará Senate race for first place, reflected in the market's elevated probability for his outcome. Recent polling from AtlasIntel, conducted September 5–10, 2026, shows him at 42.8% for the initial vote, well ahead of Delegado Éder Mauro at 26.5%, with Zequinha Marinho, Celso Sabino, and Chicão trailing further behind. Earlier surveys from Real Time Big Data and Quaest in August and early September similarly placed Barbalho in the mid-to-high 30s percent range or above, underscoring sustained voter preference tied to his prior statewide role and party infrastructure. The second Senate seat remains more competitive among lower-polling contenders, but the first-place contest shows limited movement, supporting trader consensus around Barbalho's frontrunner status ahead of the October ballot.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti