The October 5 Quebec general election features a fragmented contest among the Parti Québécois, Coalition Avenir Québec, Liberals, Conservatives, and Québec solidaire, with polls showing no clear majority path and multiple competitive ridings. This multi-party dynamic, combined with debates and sovereignty-related stakes, could sustain engagement near recent levels around 66%. Offsetting factors include more than 325,000 newly eligible younger voters—who turned out at just 54% in 2022—plus a new electoral map and expanded advance voting options. Trader odds across the 62-74% range reflect uncertainty over whether heightened competition will lift participation or whether demographic trends and typical midterm patterns will hold it steady.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato66-70% 28%
70-74% 22%
62-66% 22%
58-62% 15%
<58%
10%
58-62%
11%
62-66%
22%
66-70%
28%
70-74%
22%
74%+
13%
66-70% 28%
70-74% 22%
62-66% 22%
58-62% 15%
<58%
10%
58-62%
11%
62-66%
22%
66-70%
28%
70-74%
22%
74%+
13%
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Mercato aperto: Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The October 5 Quebec general election features a fragmented contest among the Parti Québécois, Coalition Avenir Québec, Liberals, Conservatives, and Québec solidaire, with polls showing no clear majority path and multiple competitive ridings. This multi-party dynamic, combined with debates and sovereignty-related stakes, could sustain engagement near recent levels around 66%. Offsetting factors include more than 325,000 newly eligible younger voters—who turned out at just 54% in 2022—plus a new electoral map and expanded advance voting options. Trader odds across the 62-74% range reflect uncertainty over whether heightened competition will lift participation or whether demographic trends and typical midterm patterns will hold it steady.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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