Google's Gemini models hold a strong second-place position in recent Text Arena math leaderboards, where human preference votes emphasize mathematical reasoning, driving the 83.5% implied probability for second-best lab by end of September. Anthropic's Claude variants currently lead overall, but Google's consistent high rankings in math-specific categories—supported by hybrid architecture strengths—outpace OpenAI, DeepSeek, and others whose lower scores reflect narrower edges in this benchmark. With resolution just weeks away, the market-implied odds show limited expectation of major leaderboard shifts absent new model releases or significant capability jumps from competitors.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSecond-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
Google 84%
Alibaba 6%
OpenAI 5.4%
Anthropic 1.6%
$40,772 Vol.
$40,772 Vol.
30 set 2026
84%
Alibaba
6%
OpenAI
5%
Anthropic
2%
Baidu
1%
MiniMax
<1%
Meta
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Mistral
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Meituan
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Google 84%
Alibaba 6%
OpenAI 5.4%
Anthropic 1.6%
$40,772 Vol.
$40,772 Vol.
30 set 2026
$12,574 Vol.
84%
Alibaba
$5,011 Vol.
6%
OpenAI
$3,989 Vol.
5%
Anthropic
$3,503 Vol.
2%
Baidu
$1,026 Vol.
1%
MiniMax
$963 Vol.
<1%
Meta
$922 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$1,035 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$1,207 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$954 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$1,055 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$944 Vol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$1,370 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$980 Vol.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$1,001 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$1,044 Vol.
<1%
StepFun
$566 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$910 Vol.
<1%
Nvidia
$766 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$951 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Gemini models hold a strong second-place position in recent Text Arena math leaderboards, where human preference votes emphasize mathematical reasoning, driving the 83.5% implied probability for second-best lab by end of September. Anthropic's Claude variants currently lead overall, but Google's consistent high rankings in math-specific categories—supported by hybrid architecture strengths—outpace OpenAI, DeepSeek, and others whose lower scores reflect narrower edges in this benchmark. With resolution just weeks away, the market-implied odds show limited expectation of major leaderboard shifts absent new model releases or significant capability jumps from competitors.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercato aperto: Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Volume
$40,772Data di fine
1 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Gemini models hold a strong second-place position in recent Text Arena math leaderboards, where human preference votes emphasize mathematical reasoning, driving the 83.5% implied probability for second-best lab by end of September. Anthropic's Claude variants currently lead overall, but Google's consistent high rankings in math-specific categories—supported by hybrid architecture strengths—outpace OpenAI, DeepSeek, and others whose lower scores reflect narrower edges in this benchmark. With resolution just weeks away, the market-implied odds show limited expectation of major leaderboard shifts absent new model releases or significant capability jumps from competitors.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$40,772Data di fine
1 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Google's Gemini models hold a strong second-place position in recent Text Arena math leaderboards, where human preference votes emphasize mathematical reasoning, driving the 83.5% implied probability for second-best lab by end of September. Anthropic's Claude variants currently lead overall, but Google's consistent high rankings in math-specific categories—supported by hybrid architecture strengths—outpace OpenAI, DeepSeek, and others whose lower scores reflect narrower edges in this benchmark. With resolution just weeks away, the market-implied odds show limited expectation of major leaderboard shifts absent new model releases or significant capability jumps from competitors.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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