Recent economic data and labor market trends have kept trader expectations for September US CPI month-over-month closely balanced between 0.4% and 0.5%, with each outcome priced near 33% implied probability. August core inflation readings, energy price volatility, and ongoing moderation in wage growth continue to shape the narrow range, as markets weigh persistent services inflation against cooling goods prices. Consensus forecasts from economists cluster around these levels, though upcoming September employment reports and any fresh commodity moves could shift the distribution before the release. The tight pricing reflects uncertainty typical ahead of key data prints, with lower-probability tails for 0.3% or below highlighting risks from faster disinflation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato0,5% 34%
0,4% 33%
0,6% 13%
0,2% 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 ott 2026
≤0,0%
3%
0,1%
5%
0,2%
6%
0,3%
5%
0,4%
33%
0,5%
34%
0,6%
13%
0,7%
6%
≥0,8%
5%
0,5% 34%
0,4% 33%
0,6% 13%
0,2% 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 ott 2026
≤0,0%
$132 Vol.
3%
0,1%
$110 Vol.
5%
0,2%
$149 Vol.
6%
0,3%
$150 Vol.
5%
0,4%
$1,116 Vol.
33%
0,5%
$3,068 Vol.
34%
0,6%
$149 Vol.
13%
0,7%
$130 Vol.
6%
≥0,8%
$746 Vol.
5%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent economic data and labor market trends have kept trader expectations for September US CPI month-over-month closely balanced between 0.4% and 0.5%, with each outcome priced near 33% implied probability. August core inflation readings, energy price volatility, and ongoing moderation in wage growth continue to shape the narrow range, as markets weigh persistent services inflation against cooling goods prices. Consensus forecasts from economists cluster around these levels, though upcoming September employment reports and any fresh commodity moves could shift the distribution before the release. The tight pricing reflects uncertainty typical ahead of key data prints, with lower-probability tails for 0.3% or below highlighting risks from faster disinflation.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercato aperto: Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ET
Volume
$5,750Data di fine
15 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent economic data and labor market trends have kept trader expectations for September US CPI month-over-month closely balanced between 0.4% and 0.5%, with each outcome priced near 33% implied probability. August core inflation readings, energy price volatility, and ongoing moderation in wage growth continue to shape the narrow range, as markets weigh persistent services inflation against cooling goods prices. Consensus forecasts from economists cluster around these levels, though upcoming September employment reports and any fresh commodity moves could shift the distribution before the release. The tight pricing reflects uncertainty typical ahead of key data prints, with lower-probability tails for 0.3% or below highlighting risks from faster disinflation.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$5,750Data di fine
15 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent economic data and labor market trends have kept trader expectations for September US CPI month-over-month closely balanced between 0.4% and 0.5%, with each outcome priced near 33% implied probability. August core inflation readings, energy price volatility, and ongoing moderation in wage growth continue to shape the narrow range, as markets weigh persistent services inflation against cooling goods prices. Consensus forecasts from economists cluster around these levels, though upcoming September employment reports and any fresh commodity moves could shift the distribution before the release. The tight pricing reflects uncertainty typical ahead of key data prints, with lower-probability tails for 0.3% or below highlighting risks from faster disinflation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti