Eurozone HICP inflation for 2026 is trading with a 66.2% implied probability above 3.1%, reflecting the dominant impact of elevated energy prices stemming from Middle East geopolitical tensions. Eurosystem staff projections from June place annual headline inflation at 3.0%, up 0.4 percentage points from prior estimates, with quarterly peaks near 3.4% in late 2026 driven by direct and indirect energy pass-through. July’s 2.9% reading and August flash estimates near 3.0–3.3% underscore the upward trajectory, though core measures remain closer to 2.5%. Professional forecasters’ surveys cluster around 2.7%, yet real-money positioning favors the higher path amid persistent base effects. Key near-term catalysts include the September 1 preliminary August data and the ECB’s September policy meeting, where rate decisions will hinge on whether energy-driven pressures broaden.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoInflazione annuale dell'Eurozona 2026
Inflazione annuale dell'Eurozona 2026
3,1%+ 66.2%
2,8-3,0% 20.6%
1,0–1,2% 5.5%
1,6–1,8% 4.9%
$109,166 Vol.
$109,166 Vol.
18 gen 2027
<1,0%
<1%
1,0–1,2%
6%
1,3–1,5%
<1%
1,6–1,8%
5%
1,9–2,1%
1%
2,2–2,4%
1%
2,5–2,7%
5%
2,8-3,0%
21%
3,1%+
66%
3,1%+ 66.2%
2,8-3,0% 20.6%
1,0–1,2% 5.5%
1,6–1,8% 4.9%
$109,166 Vol.
$109,166 Vol.
18 gen 2027
<1,0%
$4,935 Vol.
<1%
1,0–1,2%
$16,156 Vol.
6%
1,3–1,5%
$16,228 Vol.
<1%
1,6–1,8%
$3,341 Vol.
5%
1,9–2,1%
$25,850 Vol.
1%
2,2–2,4%
$4,766 Vol.
1%
2,5–2,7%
$7,664 Vol.
5%
2,8-3,0%
$16,834 Vol.
21%
3,1%+
$13,392 Vol.
66%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlEurozone HICP inflation for 2026 is trading with a 66.2% implied probability above 3.1%, reflecting the dominant impact of elevated energy prices stemming from Middle East geopolitical tensions. Eurosystem staff projections from June place annual headline inflation at 3.0%, up 0.4 percentage points from prior estimates, with quarterly peaks near 3.4% in late 2026 driven by direct and indirect energy pass-through. July’s 2.9% reading and August flash estimates near 3.0–3.3% underscore the upward trajectory, though core measures remain closer to 2.5%. Professional forecasters’ surveys cluster around 2.7%, yet real-money positioning favors the higher path amid persistent base effects. Key near-term catalysts include the September 1 preliminary August data and the ECB’s September policy meeting, where rate decisions will hinge on whether energy-driven pressures broaden.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Mercato aperto: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Volume
$109,166Data di fine
19 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlEurozone HICP inflation for 2026 is trading with a 66.2% implied probability above 3.1%, reflecting the dominant impact of elevated energy prices stemming from Middle East geopolitical tensions. Eurosystem staff projections from June place annual headline inflation at 3.0%, up 0.4 percentage points from prior estimates, with quarterly peaks near 3.4% in late 2026 driven by direct and indirect energy pass-through. July’s 2.9% reading and August flash estimates near 3.0–3.3% underscore the upward trajectory, though core measures remain closer to 2.5%. Professional forecasters’ surveys cluster around 2.7%, yet real-money positioning favors the higher path amid persistent base effects. Key near-term catalysts include the September 1 preliminary August data and the ECB’s September policy meeting, where rate decisions will hinge on whether energy-driven pressures broaden.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Volume
$109,166Data di fine
19 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Eurozone HICP inflation for 2026 is trading with a 66.2% implied probability above 3.1%, reflecting the dominant impact of elevated energy prices stemming from Middle East geopolitical tensions. Eurosystem staff projections from June place annual headline inflation at 3.0%, up 0.4 percentage points from prior estimates, with quarterly peaks near 3.4% in late 2026 driven by direct and indirect energy pass-through. July’s 2.9% reading and August flash estimates near 3.0–3.3% underscore the upward trajectory, though core measures remain closer to 2.5%. Professional forecasters’ surveys cluster around 2.7%, yet real-money positioning favors the higher path amid persistent base effects. Key near-term catalysts include the September 1 preliminary August data and the ECB’s September policy meeting, where rate decisions will hinge on whether energy-driven pressures broaden.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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