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icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Tocantins
Politica·Brasile

Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Tocantins

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Tocantins
Politica·Brasile

Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Tocantins

Professora Dorinha 63%

Vicentinho Júnior 29%

Du Pereira <1%

Ataides de Oliveira <1%

Polymarket

$17,170 Vol.

Professora Dorinha 63%

Vicentinho Júnior 29%

Du Pereira <1%

Ataides de Oliveira <1%

Polymarket

$17,170 Vol.

icon for Professora Dorinha

Professora Dorinha

$3,536 Vol.

63%

icon for Vicentinho Júnior

Vicentinho Júnior

$6,242 Vol.

29%

icon for Du Pereira

Du Pereira

$2,542 Vol.

1%

icon for Ataides de Oliveira

Ataides de Oliveira

$1,715 Vol.

<1%

icon for Laurez Moreira

Laurez Moreira

$645 Vol.

<1%

icon for Prof. Witer Naves

Prof. Witer Naves

$1,515 Vol.

<1%

icon for Subtenente Luiz Carlos

Subtenente Luiz Carlos

$977 Vol.

<1%

The Tocantins gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Professora Dorinha leads the Tocantins gubernatorial race with 62.5% implied probability on Polymarket, reflecting her consistent edge in August polling averages from institutes such as Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and Paraná Pesquisas. As the União Brasil nominee and sitting senator with prior service as federal deputy and state education secretary, she benefits from name recognition and a broad coalition. Vicentinho Júnior trails at 30% as the PSDB candidate and federal deputy, remaining competitive in first-round scenarios around 28-35% but trailing in most head-to-head second-round tests. Other registered candidates, including Laurez Moreira, Ataídes de Oliveira, and lower-polling names, register under 10% and hold minimal market pricing. Official candidacies were formalized in early August conventions ahead of the October 4 first round, with no major late shifts reported in the final month of campaigning.

The Tocantins gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Tocantins gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$17,170
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:39 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
The Tocantins gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Professora Dorinha leads the Tocantins gubernatorial race with 62.5% implied probability on Polymarket, reflecting her consistent edge in August polling averages from institutes such as Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and Paraná Pesquisas. As the União Brasil nominee and sitting senator with prior service as federal deputy and state education secretary, she benefits from name recognition and a broad coalition. Vicentinho Júnior trails at 30% as the PSDB candidate and federal deputy, remaining competitive in first-round scenarios around 28-35% but trailing in most head-to-head second-round tests. Other registered candidates, including Laurez Moreira, Ataídes de Oliveira, and lower-polling names, register under 10% and hold minimal market pricing. Official candidacies were formalized in early August conventions ahead of the October 4 first round, with no major late shifts reported in the final month of campaigning.

The Tocantins gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Tocantins gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$17,170
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:39 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

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Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Tocantins" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 7 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Professora Dorinha" a 63%, seguito da "Vicentinho Júnior" a 29%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 63¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 63% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Tocantins" ha generato $17.2K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Aug 17, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Tocantins", esplora i 7 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Tocantins" è "Professora Dorinha" a 63%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 63% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Vicentinho Júnior" a 29%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Tocantins" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.