Mark Teixeira holds a commanding lead in the Texas 21st congressional district race due to the district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+10 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump’s 11.5-point margin there in 2024. After longtime incumbent Chip Roy opted not to seek reelection, Teixeira secured the GOP nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 61 percent of the vote, bolstered by endorsements from President Trump and House Majority Leader Steve Scalise plus a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3.6 million. Democrat Kristin Hook, a scientist who won her primary with about 60 percent, trails significantly in both resources and district fundamentals. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for Teixeira aligns with independent forecasts rating the seat Solid Republican. Late-breaking developments such as scandals, health events, or unusually high Democratic turnout could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though the structural advantages make such shifts improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera TX-21
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera TX-21
$64,159 Vol.
$64,159 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Mark Teixeira (R)
94%
Kristin Hook (D)
6%
$64,159 Vol.
$64,159 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Mark Teixeira (R)
$34,104 Vol.
94%
Kristin Hook (D)
$30,054 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Teixeira holds a commanding lead in the Texas 21st congressional district race due to the district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+10 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump’s 11.5-point margin there in 2024. After longtime incumbent Chip Roy opted not to seek reelection, Teixeira secured the GOP nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 61 percent of the vote, bolstered by endorsements from President Trump and House Majority Leader Steve Scalise plus a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3.6 million. Democrat Kristin Hook, a scientist who won her primary with about 60 percent, trails significantly in both resources and district fundamentals. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for Teixeira aligns with independent forecasts rating the seat Solid Republican. Late-breaking developments such as scandals, health events, or unusually high Democratic turnout could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though the structural advantages make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$64,159Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Teixeira holds a commanding lead in the Texas 21st congressional district race due to the district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+10 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump’s 11.5-point margin there in 2024. After longtime incumbent Chip Roy opted not to seek reelection, Teixeira secured the GOP nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 61 percent of the vote, bolstered by endorsements from President Trump and House Majority Leader Steve Scalise plus a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3.6 million. Democrat Kristin Hook, a scientist who won her primary with about 60 percent, trails significantly in both resources and district fundamentals. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for Teixeira aligns with independent forecasts rating the seat Solid Republican. Late-breaking developments such as scandals, health events, or unusually high Democratic turnout could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though the structural advantages make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$64,159Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Mark Teixeira holds a commanding lead in the Texas 21st congressional district race due to the district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+10 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump’s 11.5-point margin there in 2024. After longtime incumbent Chip Roy opted not to seek reelection, Teixeira secured the GOP nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 61 percent of the vote, bolstered by endorsements from President Trump and House Majority Leader Steve Scalise plus a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3.6 million. Democrat Kristin Hook, a scientist who won her primary with about 60 percent, trails significantly in both resources and district fundamentals. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for Teixeira aligns with independent forecasts rating the seat Solid Republican. Late-breaking developments such as scandals, health events, or unusually high Democratic turnout could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though the structural advantages make such shifts improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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