Saudi Arabia remains the most prominent candidate for joining the Abraham Accords, yet it continues to condition any normalization with Israel on an irreversible pathway to Palestinian statehood—a requirement rejected by the current Israeli government. Recent U.S. efforts, including President Trump’s July 2026 linkage of a civilian nuclear cooperation agreement to Riyadh’s accession, have not altered Saudi positions, as confirmed by Riyadh’s emphasis on prior demands. Regional developments have further complicated prospects: Saudi Arabia has pursued alignments with Turkey, Pakistan, and Egypt, alongside talks on a non-aggression framework involving Iran, reflecting a strategic preference for autonomous Gulf security architecture over expanded Accords participation. No other states have advanced meaningfully toward formal accession in 2026. These entrenched diplomatic and geopolitical hurdles underpin traders’ strong consensus against a new member before 2027.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoUn nuovo paese aderirà agli accordi di Abraham prima del 2027?
Un nuovo paese aderirà agli accordi di Abraham prima del 2027?
Sì
16% probabilità
$300,558 Vol.
$300,558 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
16% probabilità
$300,558 Vol.
$300,558 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Saudi Arabia remains the most prominent candidate for joining the Abraham Accords, yet it continues to condition any normalization with Israel on an irreversible pathway to Palestinian statehood—a requirement rejected by the current Israeli government. Recent U.S. efforts, including President Trump’s July 2026 linkage of a civilian nuclear cooperation agreement to Riyadh’s accession, have not altered Saudi positions, as confirmed by Riyadh’s emphasis on prior demands. Regional developments have further complicated prospects: Saudi Arabia has pursued alignments with Turkey, Pakistan, and Egypt, alongside talks on a non-aggression framework involving Iran, reflecting a strategic preference for autonomous Gulf security architecture over expanded Accords participation. No other states have advanced meaningfully toward formal accession in 2026. These entrenched diplomatic and geopolitical hurdles underpin traders’ strong consensus against a new member before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ET
Volume
$300,558Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Saudi Arabia remains the most prominent candidate for joining the Abraham Accords, yet it continues to condition any normalization with Israel on an irreversible pathway to Palestinian statehood—a requirement rejected by the current Israeli government. Recent U.S. efforts, including President Trump’s July 2026 linkage of a civilian nuclear cooperation agreement to Riyadh’s accession, have not altered Saudi positions, as confirmed by Riyadh’s emphasis on prior demands. Regional developments have further complicated prospects: Saudi Arabia has pursued alignments with Turkey, Pakistan, and Egypt, alongside talks on a non-aggression framework involving Iran, reflecting a strategic preference for autonomous Gulf security architecture over expanded Accords participation. No other states have advanced meaningfully toward formal accession in 2026. These entrenched diplomatic and geopolitical hurdles underpin traders’ strong consensus against a new member before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$300,558Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Saudi Arabia remains the most prominent candidate for joining the Abraham Accords, yet it continues to condition any normalization with Israel on an irreversible pathway to Palestinian statehood—a requirement rejected by the current Israeli government. Recent U.S. efforts, including President Trump’s July 2026 linkage of a civilian nuclear cooperation agreement to Riyadh’s accession, have not altered Saudi positions, as confirmed by Riyadh’s emphasis on prior demands. Regional developments have further complicated prospects: Saudi Arabia has pursued alignments with Turkey, Pakistan, and Egypt, alongside talks on a non-aggression framework involving Iran, reflecting a strategic preference for autonomous Gulf security architecture over expanded Accords participation. No other states have advanced meaningfully toward formal accession in 2026. These entrenched diplomatic and geopolitical hurdles underpin traders’ strong consensus against a new member before 2027.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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