**Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT), the incumbent seeking reelection, holds the leading position in the Bahia governor race according to trader consensus, ahead of main challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil).** As of mid-September 2026, with the first round set for October 4, recent polls show a tight contest or slight edges for either candidate depending on the institute, reflecting a polarized electorate. Jerônimo benefits from incumbency resources, established PT alliances including with PSD figures like Rui Costa and Jaques Wagner on the Senate ticket, and ongoing campaign emphasis on expanding full-time schools, security operations against criminal factions, and tourism partnerships. ACM Neto draws strength from his record as former Salvador mayor and appeals in urban areas. Minor candidates register negligible support. Market pricing appears to incorporate historical PT dominance in the state and late-stage coalition dynamics over poll volatility, with resolution tied to official results.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ジェロニモ・ロドリゲス 60%
ACMネト 42%
ジョアン・ロマ <1%
ジョゼ・カルロス・アレルイア <1%
$154,696 Vol.
$154,696 Vol.
2026/10/04
ジェロニモ・ロドリゲス
60%
ACMネト
42%
ジョアン・ロマ
<1%
ジョゼ・カルロス・アレルイア
<1%
クレベル・ホーザ
<1%
ルイ・コスタ
<1%
ブルーノ・ソアレス・ヘイス
<1%
ジェロニモ・ロドリゲス 60%
ACMネト 42%
ジョアン・ロマ <1%
ジョゼ・カルロス・アレルイア <1%
$154,696 Vol.
$154,696 Vol.
2026/10/04
ジェロニモ・ロドリゲス
$51,229 Vol.
60%
ACMネト
$61,343 Vol.
42%
ジョアン・ロマ
$5,186 Vol.
<1%
ジョゼ・カルロス・アレルイア
$11,986 Vol.
<1%
クレベル・ホーザ
$13,880 Vol.
<1%
ルイ・コスタ
$5,747 Vol.
<1%
ブルーノ・ソアレス・ヘイス
$5,325 Vol.
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT), the incumbent seeking reelection, holds the leading position in the Bahia governor race according to trader consensus, ahead of main challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil).** As of mid-September 2026, with the first round set for October 4, recent polls show a tight contest or slight edges for either candidate depending on the institute, reflecting a polarized electorate. Jerônimo benefits from incumbency resources, established PT alliances including with PSD figures like Rui Costa and Jaques Wagner on the Senate ticket, and ongoing campaign emphasis on expanding full-time schools, security operations against criminal factions, and tourism partnerships. ACM Neto draws strength from his record as former Salvador mayor and appeals in urban areas. Minor candidates register negligible support. Market pricing appears to incorporate historical PT dominance in the state and late-stage coalition dynamics over poll volatility, with resolution tied to official results.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
音量
$154,696終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT), the incumbent seeking reelection, holds the leading position in the Bahia governor race according to trader consensus, ahead of main challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil).** As of mid-September 2026, with the first round set for October 4, recent polls show a tight contest or slight edges for either candidate depending on the institute, reflecting a polarized electorate. Jerônimo benefits from incumbency resources, established PT alliances including with PSD figures like Rui Costa and Jaques Wagner on the Senate ticket, and ongoing campaign emphasis on expanding full-time schools, security operations against criminal factions, and tourism partnerships. ACM Neto draws strength from his record as former Salvador mayor and appeals in urban areas. Minor candidates register negligible support. Market pricing appears to incorporate historical PT dominance in the state and late-stage coalition dynamics over poll volatility, with resolution tied to official results.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$154,696終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...**Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT), the incumbent seeking reelection, holds the leading position in the Bahia governor race according to trader consensus, ahead of main challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil).** As of mid-September 2026, with the first round set for October 4, recent polls show a tight contest or slight edges for either candidate depending on the institute, reflecting a polarized electorate. Jerônimo benefits from incumbency resources, established PT alliances including with PSD figures like Rui Costa and Jaques Wagner on the Senate ticket, and ongoing campaign emphasis on expanding full-time schools, security operations against criminal factions, and tourism partnerships. ACM Neto draws strength from his record as former Salvador mayor and appeals in urban areas. Minor candidates register negligible support. Market pricing appears to incorporate historical PT dominance in the state and late-stage coalition dynamics over poll volatility, with resolution tied to official results.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問