Incumbent Democrat Sydney Kamlager-Dove secured 55 percent in the June 2026 top-two primary for California’s 37th congressional district, advancing alongside fellow Democrat Samantha Mota for the November general election. The Los Angeles-based seat carries a strong Democratic partisan voter index exceeding D+30, consistent with recent presidential results and historical turnout patterns that have delivered Democratic margins above 60 points. California’s top-two primary system funneled both leading candidates from the same party into the general, leaving the Republican primary finisher far behind. Trader consensus prices a Democratic victory above 96 percent, reflecting the district’s structural lean and the absence of a viable Republican nominee. Low-probability shifts could still emerge from late developments such as candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or extreme turnout anomalies, though none appear imminent ahead of the November ballot.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/02
民主党
96%
共和党
3%
新規
新規
2026/11/02
民主党
$2,044 Vol.
96%
共和党
$1,356 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sydney Kamlager-Dove secured 55 percent in the June 2026 top-two primary for California’s 37th congressional district, advancing alongside fellow Democrat Samantha Mota for the November general election. The Los Angeles-based seat carries a strong Democratic partisan voter index exceeding D+30, consistent with recent presidential results and historical turnout patterns that have delivered Democratic margins above 60 points. California’s top-two primary system funneled both leading candidates from the same party into the general, leaving the Republican primary finisher far behind. Trader consensus prices a Democratic victory above 96 percent, reflecting the district’s structural lean and the absence of a viable Republican nominee. Low-probability shifts could still emerge from late developments such as candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or extreme turnout anomalies, though none appear imminent ahead of the November ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$3,400終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sydney Kamlager-Dove secured 55 percent in the June 2026 top-two primary for California’s 37th congressional district, advancing alongside fellow Democrat Samantha Mota for the November general election. The Los Angeles-based seat carries a strong Democratic partisan voter index exceeding D+30, consistent with recent presidential results and historical turnout patterns that have delivered Democratic margins above 60 points. California’s top-two primary system funneled both leading candidates from the same party into the general, leaving the Republican primary finisher far behind. Trader consensus prices a Democratic victory above 96 percent, reflecting the district’s structural lean and the absence of a viable Republican nominee. Low-probability shifts could still emerge from late developments such as candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or extreme turnout anomalies, though none appear imminent ahead of the November ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$3,400終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Sydney Kamlager-Dove secured 55 percent in the June 2026 top-two primary for California’s 37th congressional district, advancing alongside fellow Democrat Samantha Mota for the November general election. The Los Angeles-based seat carries a strong Democratic partisan voter index exceeding D+30, consistent with recent presidential results and historical turnout patterns that have delivered Democratic margins above 60 points. California’s top-two primary system funneled both leading candidates from the same party into the general, leaving the Republican primary finisher far behind. Trader consensus prices a Democratic victory above 96 percent, reflecting the district’s structural lean and the absence of a viable Republican nominee. Low-probability shifts could still emerge from late developments such as candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or extreme turnout anomalies, though none appear imminent ahead of the November ballot.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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