Maxine Waters holds a commanding position in the CA-43 race due to her long incumbency in a solidly Democratic district encompassing parts of South Los Angeles and the South Bay, combined with strong primary performance. In the June 2, 2026, top-two primary, she secured 63.8% of the vote against Republican Cristian Morales at 16.9% and two other Democrats, advancing to the November 3 general election. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with her 75% win in 2024 and the district’s partisan composition. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors. A realistic shift would require late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually low Democratic turnout that alters the established baseline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$31,830 Vol.
$31,830 Vol.
2026/11/02
マキシン・ウォーターズ（民主党）
96%
クリスティアン・モラレス（共和党）
3%
$31,830 Vol.
$31,830 Vol.
2026/11/02
マキシン・ウォーターズ（民主党）
$10,935 Vol.
96%
クリスティアン・モラレス（共和党）
$20,895 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maxine Waters holds a commanding position in the CA-43 race due to her long incumbency in a solidly Democratic district encompassing parts of South Los Angeles and the South Bay, combined with strong primary performance. In the June 2, 2026, top-two primary, she secured 63.8% of the vote against Republican Cristian Morales at 16.9% and two other Democrats, advancing to the November 3 general election. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with her 75% win in 2024 and the district’s partisan composition. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors. A realistic shift would require late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually low Democratic turnout that alters the established baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
音量
$31,830終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maxine Waters holds a commanding position in the CA-43 race due to her long incumbency in a solidly Democratic district encompassing parts of South Los Angeles and the South Bay, combined with strong primary performance. In the June 2, 2026, top-two primary, she secured 63.8% of the vote against Republican Cristian Morales at 16.9% and two other Democrats, advancing to the November 3 general election. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with her 75% win in 2024 and the district’s partisan composition. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors. A realistic shift would require late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually low Democratic turnout that alters the established baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$31,830終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Maxine Waters holds a commanding position in the CA-43 race due to her long incumbency in a solidly Democratic district encompassing parts of South Los Angeles and the South Bay, combined with strong primary performance. In the June 2, 2026, top-two primary, she secured 63.8% of the vote against Republican Cristian Morales at 16.9% and two other Democrats, advancing to the November 3 general election. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with her 75% win in 2024 and the district’s partisan composition. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors. A realistic shift would require late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually low Democratic turnout that alters the established baseline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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