The Michigan 7th congressional district remains a toss-up House race between incumbent Republican Tom Barrett and Democratic nominee William Lawrence, with national implications for chamber control. Barrett, who flipped the seat in 2024, benefits from incumbency and the district’s recent Republican tilt, including Donald Trump’s 2024 margin there. Lawrence secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary by defeating two more moderate opponents and has since received DCCC Red to Blue program support, enabling additional resources and ground efforts in the Lansing-centered battleground. Polling averages show a narrow Republican edge while trader consensus reflects the district’s swing character and potential for late shifts from turnout, messaging on local economic issues, or national political dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$20,426 Vol.
$20,426 Vol.
2026/11/03
ウィリアム・ローレンス（民主党）
52%
トム・バレット（共和党）
47%
$20,426 Vol.
$20,426 Vol.
2026/11/03
ウィリアム・ローレンス（民主党）
$13,452 Vol.
52%
トム・バレット（共和党）
$6,974 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Michigan 7th congressional district remains a toss-up House race between incumbent Republican Tom Barrett and Democratic nominee William Lawrence, with national implications for chamber control. Barrett, who flipped the seat in 2024, benefits from incumbency and the district’s recent Republican tilt, including Donald Trump’s 2024 margin there. Lawrence secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary by defeating two more moderate opponents and has since received DCCC Red to Blue program support, enabling additional resources and ground efforts in the Lansing-centered battleground. Polling averages show a narrow Republican edge while trader consensus reflects the district’s swing character and potential for late shifts from turnout, messaging on local economic issues, or national political dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
音量
$20,426終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Michigan 7th congressional district remains a toss-up House race between incumbent Republican Tom Barrett and Democratic nominee William Lawrence, with national implications for chamber control. Barrett, who flipped the seat in 2024, benefits from incumbency and the district’s recent Republican tilt, including Donald Trump’s 2024 margin there. Lawrence secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary by defeating two more moderate opponents and has since received DCCC Red to Blue program support, enabling additional resources and ground efforts in the Lansing-centered battleground. Polling averages show a narrow Republican edge while trader consensus reflects the district’s swing character and potential for late shifts from turnout, messaging on local economic issues, or national political dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$20,426終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...The Michigan 7th congressional district remains a toss-up House race between incumbent Republican Tom Barrett and Democratic nominee William Lawrence, with national implications for chamber control. Barrett, who flipped the seat in 2024, benefits from incumbency and the district’s recent Republican tilt, including Donald Trump’s 2024 margin there. Lawrence secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary by defeating two more moderate opponents and has since received DCCC Red to Blue program support, enabling additional resources and ground efforts in the Lansing-centered battleground. Polling averages show a narrow Republican edge while trader consensus reflects the district’s swing character and potential for late shifts from turnout, messaging on local economic issues, or national political dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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