Bennie Thompson, the longtime Democratic incumbent representing Mississippi’s 2nd Congressional District, holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the November 2026 general election. The majority-Black district has delivered consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles, reinforced by Thompson’s strong primary performance and the race’s “Solid Democratic” ratings from multiple forecasters. Ron Eller, the Republican nominee who previously challenged Thompson in 2024, secured his party’s nomination in the March primary but faces structural headwinds in a district with entrenched partisan leanings. An independent candidate adds a minor variable, yet historical vote shares and limited recent campaign developments suggest few pathways for a competitive outcome. Late-breaking events such as a significant scandal or health development remain the primary theoretical risks to the current positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$38,588 Vol.
$38,588 Vol.
2026/11/02
ベニー・トンプソン（民主党）
93%
ロン・エラー（共和党）
7%
$38,588 Vol.
$38,588 Vol.
2026/11/02
ベニー・トンプソン（民主党）
$22,631 Vol.
93%
ロン・エラー（共和党）
$15,957 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bennie Thompson, the longtime Democratic incumbent representing Mississippi’s 2nd Congressional District, holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the November 2026 general election. The majority-Black district has delivered consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles, reinforced by Thompson’s strong primary performance and the race’s “Solid Democratic” ratings from multiple forecasters. Ron Eller, the Republican nominee who previously challenged Thompson in 2024, secured his party’s nomination in the March primary but faces structural headwinds in a district with entrenched partisan leanings. An independent candidate adds a minor variable, yet historical vote shares and limited recent campaign developments suggest few pathways for a competitive outcome. Late-breaking events such as a significant scandal or health development remain the primary theoretical risks to the current positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$38,588終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bennie Thompson, the longtime Democratic incumbent representing Mississippi’s 2nd Congressional District, holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the November 2026 general election. The majority-Black district has delivered consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles, reinforced by Thompson’s strong primary performance and the race’s “Solid Democratic” ratings from multiple forecasters. Ron Eller, the Republican nominee who previously challenged Thompson in 2024, secured his party’s nomination in the March primary but faces structural headwinds in a district with entrenched partisan leanings. An independent candidate adds a minor variable, yet historical vote shares and limited recent campaign developments suggest few pathways for a competitive outcome. Late-breaking events such as a significant scandal or health development remain the primary theoretical risks to the current positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$38,588終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Bennie Thompson, the longtime Democratic incumbent representing Mississippi’s 2nd Congressional District, holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the November 2026 general election. The majority-Black district has delivered consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles, reinforced by Thompson’s strong primary performance and the race’s “Solid Democratic” ratings from multiple forecasters. Ron Eller, the Republican nominee who previously challenged Thompson in 2024, secured his party’s nomination in the March primary but faces structural headwinds in a district with entrenched partisan leanings. An independent candidate adds a minor variable, yet historical vote shares and limited recent campaign developments suggest few pathways for a competitive outcome. Late-breaking events such as a significant scandal or health development remain the primary theoretical risks to the current positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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