Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly secured renomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary for Mississippi’s 1st congressional district, while Democrat Cliff Johnson advanced from a low-turnout primary contest. The northeastern Mississippi district maintains a consistent Republican partisan lean exceeding 60 points, reflected in Kelly’s 70 percent victory margin in 2024 and uniform “solid” or “safe” ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Traders price Republican victory above 94 percent because structural factors such as voter registration patterns, historical turnout differentials, and limited Democratic infrastructure in the district have produced reliable outcomes in comparable cycles. Potential shifts remain possible through late developments including candidate health issues, major scandals, or unexpected national political realignments that alter turnout or fundraising dynamics before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$117,455 Vol.
$117,455 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
95%
民主党
4%
$117,455 Vol.
$117,455 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$85,217 Vol.
95%
民主党
$32,239 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly secured renomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary for Mississippi’s 1st congressional district, while Democrat Cliff Johnson advanced from a low-turnout primary contest. The northeastern Mississippi district maintains a consistent Republican partisan lean exceeding 60 points, reflected in Kelly’s 70 percent victory margin in 2024 and uniform “solid” or “safe” ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Traders price Republican victory above 94 percent because structural factors such as voter registration patterns, historical turnout differentials, and limited Democratic infrastructure in the district have produced reliable outcomes in comparable cycles. Potential shifts remain possible through late developments including candidate health issues, major scandals, or unexpected national political realignments that alter turnout or fundraising dynamics before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$117,455終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly secured renomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary for Mississippi’s 1st congressional district, while Democrat Cliff Johnson advanced from a low-turnout primary contest. The northeastern Mississippi district maintains a consistent Republican partisan lean exceeding 60 points, reflected in Kelly’s 70 percent victory margin in 2024 and uniform “solid” or “safe” ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Traders price Republican victory above 94 percent because structural factors such as voter registration patterns, historical turnout differentials, and limited Democratic infrastructure in the district have produced reliable outcomes in comparable cycles. Potential shifts remain possible through late developments including candidate health issues, major scandals, or unexpected national political realignments that alter turnout or fundraising dynamics before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$117,455終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly secured renomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary for Mississippi’s 1st congressional district, while Democrat Cliff Johnson advanced from a low-turnout primary contest. The northeastern Mississippi district maintains a consistent Republican partisan lean exceeding 60 points, reflected in Kelly’s 70 percent victory margin in 2024 and uniform “solid” or “safe” ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Traders price Republican victory above 94 percent because structural factors such as voter registration patterns, historical turnout differentials, and limited Democratic infrastructure in the district have produced reliable outcomes in comparable cycles. Potential shifts remain possible through late developments including candidate health issues, major scandals, or unexpected national political realignments that alter turnout or fundraising dynamics before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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