Incumbent Republican Michael Guest holds a commanding position in Mississippi’s 3rd congressional district race due to the district’s strong Republican lean of roughly R+29, his consistent prior general-election margins above 64 percent, and unopposed advancement through the March 2026 Republican primary. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Guest’s substantial fundraising edge—hundreds of thousands of dollars raised versus under $100,000 for Democratic nominee Michael Chiaradio, a political newcomer—further reinforces the market consensus reflected in current pricing. A late-breaking scandal, serious health event, or unanticipated national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though structural and historical factors make significant shifts improbable before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$62,011 Vol.
$62,011 Vol.
2026/11/02
マイケル・ゲスト（共和党）
97%
マイケル・キアラディオ（民主党）
<1%
$62,011 Vol.
$62,011 Vol.
2026/11/02
マイケル・ゲスト（共和党）
$22,644 Vol.
97%
マイケル・キアラディオ（民主党）
$39,366 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Guest holds a commanding position in Mississippi’s 3rd congressional district race due to the district’s strong Republican lean of roughly R+29, his consistent prior general-election margins above 64 percent, and unopposed advancement through the March 2026 Republican primary. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Guest’s substantial fundraising edge—hundreds of thousands of dollars raised versus under $100,000 for Democratic nominee Michael Chiaradio, a political newcomer—further reinforces the market consensus reflected in current pricing. A late-breaking scandal, serious health event, or unanticipated national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though structural and historical factors make significant shifts improbable before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$62,011終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Guest holds a commanding position in Mississippi’s 3rd congressional district race due to the district’s strong Republican lean of roughly R+29, his consistent prior general-election margins above 64 percent, and unopposed advancement through the March 2026 Republican primary. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Guest’s substantial fundraising edge—hundreds of thousands of dollars raised versus under $100,000 for Democratic nominee Michael Chiaradio, a political newcomer—further reinforces the market consensus reflected in current pricing. A late-breaking scandal, serious health event, or unanticipated national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though structural and historical factors make significant shifts improbable before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$62,011終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Michael Guest holds a commanding position in Mississippi’s 3rd congressional district race due to the district’s strong Republican lean of roughly R+29, his consistent prior general-election margins above 64 percent, and unopposed advancement through the March 2026 Republican primary. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Guest’s substantial fundraising edge—hundreds of thousands of dollars raised versus under $100,000 for Democratic nominee Michael Chiaradio, a political newcomer—further reinforces the market consensus reflected in current pricing. A late-breaking scandal, serious health event, or unanticipated national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though structural and historical factors make significant shifts improbable before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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