The district’s longstanding Republican tilt, including a substantial voter registration edge and consistent conservative voting patterns in northern Nevada, underpins David Flippo’s leading position in the November general election. Flippo secured the GOP nomination in June after defeating an establishment-backed rival with late support from President Trump, positioning him to consolidate the party base in this open seat previously held by retiring Rep. Mark Amodei. Teresa Benitez-Thompson won her Democratic primary and has drawn attention through competitive fundraising and polling that occasionally shows the race within the margin of error, prompting the DCCC to target the district. Recent analyses from outlets like Inside Elections have shifted ratings toward “lean Republican,” reflecting the structural barriers for Democrats while highlighting Benitez-Thompson’s local experience and policy focus as potential variables in the final weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$30,883 Vol.
$30,883 Vol.
デイビッド・フリッポ(共和党)
75%
テレサ・ベニテズ=トンプソン(民主党)
24%
$30,883 Vol.
$30,883 Vol.
デイビッド・フリッポ(共和党)
75%
テレサ・ベニテズ=トンプソン(民主党)
24%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
リゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...The district’s longstanding Republican tilt, including a substantial voter registration edge and consistent conservative voting patterns in northern Nevada, underpins David Flippo’s leading position in the November general election. Flippo secured the GOP nomination in June after defeating an establishment-backed rival with late support from President Trump, positioning him to consolidate the party base in this open seat previously held by retiring Rep. Mark Amodei. Teresa Benitez-Thompson won her Democratic primary and has drawn attention through competitive fundraising and polling that occasionally shows the race within the margin of error, prompting the DCCC to target the district. Recent analyses from outlets like Inside Elections have shifted ratings toward “lean Republican,” reflecting the structural barriers for Democrats while highlighting Benitez-Thompson’s local experience and policy focus as potential variables in the final weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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