Steven Horsford’s incumbency in Nevada’s 4th Congressional District, combined with its D+2 Partisan Voter Index, underpins trader consensus that he will retain the seat in the November 3, 2026 general election. Multiple forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic, reflecting the district’s structural lean toward Democrats and Horsford’s unopposed primary. Republican nominee Cody Whipple, a telecommunications executive and rancher who won his June primary with 62 percent, has focused recent outreach on rural counties but faces a substantial fundraising gap. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a strong national Republican wave, unusually high rural turnout, or late developments that shift voter priorities on affordability, border security, or economic conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$10,740 Vol.
$10,740 Vol.
2026/11/03
スティーブン・ホースフォード（民主党）
93%
コディ・ウィップル（共和党）
5%
$10,740 Vol.
$10,740 Vol.
2026/11/03
スティーブン・ホースフォード（民主党）
$5,435 Vol.
93%
コディ・ウィップル（共和党）
$5,305 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Steven Horsford’s incumbency in Nevada’s 4th Congressional District, combined with its D+2 Partisan Voter Index, underpins trader consensus that he will retain the seat in the November 3, 2026 general election. Multiple forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic, reflecting the district’s structural lean toward Democrats and Horsford’s unopposed primary. Republican nominee Cody Whipple, a telecommunications executive and rancher who won his June primary with 62 percent, has focused recent outreach on rural counties but faces a substantial fundraising gap. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a strong national Republican wave, unusually high rural turnout, or late developments that shift voter priorities on affordability, border security, or economic conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
音量
$10,740終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Steven Horsford’s incumbency in Nevada’s 4th Congressional District, combined with its D+2 Partisan Voter Index, underpins trader consensus that he will retain the seat in the November 3, 2026 general election. Multiple forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic, reflecting the district’s structural lean toward Democrats and Horsford’s unopposed primary. Republican nominee Cody Whipple, a telecommunications executive and rancher who won his June primary with 62 percent, has focused recent outreach on rural counties but faces a substantial fundraising gap. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a strong national Republican wave, unusually high rural turnout, or late developments that shift voter priorities on affordability, border security, or economic conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$10,740終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Steven Horsford’s incumbency in Nevada’s 4th Congressional District, combined with its D+2 Partisan Voter Index, underpins trader consensus that he will retain the seat in the November 3, 2026 general election. Multiple forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic, reflecting the district’s structural lean toward Democrats and Horsford’s unopposed primary. Republican nominee Cody Whipple, a telecommunications executive and rancher who won his June primary with 62 percent, has focused recent outreach on rural counties but faces a substantial fundraising gap. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a strong national Republican wave, unusually high rural turnout, or late developments that shift voter priorities on affordability, border security, or economic conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問