Incumbent Democrat Dina Titus holds a commanding lead in the Nevada 1st congressional district race due to her long tenure, strong primary performance, and the district’s D+2 partisan lean, where she prevailed by roughly eight points in 2024. Republican nominee Carrie Buck, a state senator who won her June primary, has raised substantial funds and secured notable endorsements, yet faces structural challenges in this urban and suburban Las Vegas area. Election forecasters rate the contest Likely Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. Late developments such as major national economic shifts, candidate health issues, or turnout surprises could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$15,495 Vol.
$15,495 Vol.
2026/11/03
ディナ・タイタス（民主党）
91%
キャリー・バック（共和党）
9%
$15,495 Vol.
$15,495 Vol.
2026/11/03
ディナ・タイタス（民主党）
$4,130 Vol.
91%
キャリー・バック（共和党）
$11,365 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Dina Titus holds a commanding lead in the Nevada 1st congressional district race due to her long tenure, strong primary performance, and the district’s D+2 partisan lean, where she prevailed by roughly eight points in 2024. Republican nominee Carrie Buck, a state senator who won her June primary, has raised substantial funds and secured notable endorsements, yet faces structural challenges in this urban and suburban Las Vegas area. Election forecasters rate the contest Likely Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. Late developments such as major national economic shifts, candidate health issues, or turnout surprises could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
音量
$15,495終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Dina Titus holds a commanding lead in the Nevada 1st congressional district race due to her long tenure, strong primary performance, and the district’s D+2 partisan lean, where she prevailed by roughly eight points in 2024. Republican nominee Carrie Buck, a state senator who won her June primary, has raised substantial funds and secured notable endorsements, yet faces structural challenges in this urban and suburban Las Vegas area. Election forecasters rate the contest Likely Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. Late developments such as major national economic shifts, candidate health issues, or turnout surprises could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$15,495終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Dina Titus holds a commanding lead in the Nevada 1st congressional district race due to her long tenure, strong primary performance, and the district’s D+2 partisan lean, where she prevailed by roughly eight points in 2024. Republican nominee Carrie Buck, a state senator who won her June primary, has raised substantial funds and secured notable endorsements, yet faces structural challenges in this urban and suburban Las Vegas area. Election forecasters rate the contest Likely Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. Late developments such as major national economic shifts, candidate health issues, or turnout surprises could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問