Recent polling from Datafolha and Quaest shows Marília Arraes (PDT) leading the Pernambuco Senate race for one of two seats, with Humberto Costa (PT) and Mendonça Filho (PL) clustered closely behind in combined first- and second-preference totals. High shares of undecided voters and blank or null ballots keep the contest for second place fluid, as voters select two candidates and smaller shifts in support for Eduardo da Fonte (PP), Túlio Gadêlha (PSD), or others can reorder the middle of the field. Costa benefits from incumbency and name recognition, while Mendonça draws from opposition-leaning voters; the absence of major campaign turning points since the latest surveys leaves the implied probabilities for second place tightly bunched around these frontrunners.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ウンベルト・コスタ 40%
メンドンサ・フィーリョ 27%
マリリア・アラエス 14.1%
トゥリオ・ガデーリャ 8.4%
$32,299 Vol.
$32,299 Vol.
2026/10/04
ウンベルト・コスタ
40%
メンドンサ・フィーリョ
27%
マリリア・アラエス
17%
トゥリオ・ガデーリャ
8%
エドゥアルド・ダ・フォンチ
6%
マリアノ・マセド
<1%
サミュエル・ティモテオ
<1%
カルロス・サンタナ
<1%
ゴレット・ビトゥ
<1%
マイウソン・ダ・シルバ・ネト
<1%
ジルヴァン・コスタ牧師
<1%
パウロ・ルーベン・サンティアゴ
<1%
ウンベルト・コスタ 40%
メンドンサ・フィーリョ 27%
マリリア・アラエス 14.1%
トゥリオ・ガデーリャ 8.4%
$32,299 Vol.
$32,299 Vol.
2026/10/04
ウンベルト・コスタ
$10,128 Vol.
40%
メンドンサ・フィーリョ
$8,863 Vol.
27%
マリリア・アラエス
$5,666 Vol.
17%
トゥリオ・ガデーリャ
$1,435 Vol.
8%
エドゥアルド・ダ・フォンチ
$1,694 Vol.
6%
マリアノ・マセド
$806 Vol.
<1%
サミュエル・ティモテオ
$834 Vol.
<1%
カルロス・サンタナ
$494 Vol.
<1%
ゴレット・ビトゥ
$629 Vol.
<1%
マイウソン・ダ・シルバ・ネト
$433 Vol.
<1%
ジルヴァン・コスタ牧師
$829 Vol.
<1%
パウロ・ルーベン・サンティアゴ
$490 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Datafolha and Quaest shows Marília Arraes (PDT) leading the Pernambuco Senate race for one of two seats, with Humberto Costa (PT) and Mendonça Filho (PL) clustered closely behind in combined first- and second-preference totals. High shares of undecided voters and blank or null ballots keep the contest for second place fluid, as voters select two candidates and smaller shifts in support for Eduardo da Fonte (PP), Túlio Gadêlha (PSD), or others can reorder the middle of the field. Costa benefits from incumbency and name recognition, while Mendonça draws from opposition-leaning voters; the absence of major campaign turning points since the latest surveys leaves the implied probabilities for second place tightly bunched around these frontrunners.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
音量
$32,299終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Datafolha and Quaest shows Marília Arraes (PDT) leading the Pernambuco Senate race for one of two seats, with Humberto Costa (PT) and Mendonça Filho (PL) clustered closely behind in combined first- and second-preference totals. High shares of undecided voters and blank or null ballots keep the contest for second place fluid, as voters select two candidates and smaller shifts in support for Eduardo da Fonte (PP), Túlio Gadêlha (PSD), or others can reorder the middle of the field. Costa benefits from incumbency and name recognition, while Mendonça draws from opposition-leaning voters; the absence of major campaign turning points since the latest surveys leaves the implied probabilities for second place tightly bunched around these frontrunners.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$32,299終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from Datafolha and Quaest shows Marília Arraes (PDT) leading the Pernambuco Senate race for one of two seats, with Humberto Costa (PT) and Mendonça Filho (PL) clustered closely behind in combined first- and second-preference totals. High shares of undecided voters and blank or null ballots keep the contest for second place fluid, as voters select two candidates and smaller shifts in support for Eduardo da Fonte (PP), Túlio Gadêlha (PSD), or others can reorder the middle of the field. Costa benefits from incumbency and name recognition, while Mendonça draws from opposition-leaning voters; the absence of major campaign turning points since the latest surveys leaves the implied probabilities for second place tightly bunched around these frontrunners.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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