Teresa Surita (MDB) maintains a narrow edge in trader pricing for first place in Roraima’s October 4 Senate contest, consistent with her 26% showing for the top vacancy in the latest Quaest survey. Her long record as five-term mayor of Boa Vista supplies stronger name recognition than most rivals in a field of 13 candidates where spontaneous indecision reaches 67%. The PL vote remains split between federal deputies Nicoletti and Hélio Bolsonaro, limiting consolidation on the right, while Helena da Asatur (PSD) and incumbent Chico Rodrigues trail in the mid-teens. High indecision, the two-vote structure, and limited recent polling keep probabilities compressed; any late consolidation, shifts tied to the concurrent gubernatorial race, or turnout changes among key blocs could reorder the final tallies before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Teresa Surita 48%
Nicoletti 28.3%
Helio Bolsonaro 16%
Helena da Asatur 8.6%
$46,113 Vol.
$46,113 Vol.
2026/10/04
Teresa Surita
48%
Nicoletti
28%
Helio Bolsonaro
16%
Helena da Asatur
9%
Chico Rodrigues
4%
Márcio Junqueira
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
<1%
Mario Rocha
<1%
Rogério Miranda
<1%
Hilton Xavier
<1%
Pastor Isamar
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
<1%
Teresa Surita 48%
Nicoletti 28.3%
Helio Bolsonaro 16%
Helena da Asatur 8.6%
$46,113 Vol.
$46,113 Vol.
2026/10/04
Teresa Surita
$19,263 Vol.
48%
Nicoletti
$10,316 Vol.
28%
Helio Bolsonaro
$7,357 Vol.
16%
Helena da Asatur
$2,472 Vol.
9%
Chico Rodrigues
$1,382 Vol.
4%
Márcio Junqueira
$794 Vol.
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
$457 Vol.
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$687 Vol.
<1%
Mario Rocha
$702 Vol.
<1%
Rogério Miranda
$900 Vol.
<1%
Hilton Xavier
$616 Vol.
<1%
Pastor Isamar
$692 Vol.
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
$476 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Teresa Surita (MDB) maintains a narrow edge in trader pricing for first place in Roraima’s October 4 Senate contest, consistent with her 26% showing for the top vacancy in the latest Quaest survey. Her long record as five-term mayor of Boa Vista supplies stronger name recognition than most rivals in a field of 13 candidates where spontaneous indecision reaches 67%. The PL vote remains split between federal deputies Nicoletti and Hélio Bolsonaro, limiting consolidation on the right, while Helena da Asatur (PSD) and incumbent Chico Rodrigues trail in the mid-teens. High indecision, the two-vote structure, and limited recent polling keep probabilities compressed; any late consolidation, shifts tied to the concurrent gubernatorial race, or turnout changes among key blocs could reorder the final tallies before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
音量
$46,113終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Teresa Surita (MDB) maintains a narrow edge in trader pricing for first place in Roraima’s October 4 Senate contest, consistent with her 26% showing for the top vacancy in the latest Quaest survey. Her long record as five-term mayor of Boa Vista supplies stronger name recognition than most rivals in a field of 13 candidates where spontaneous indecision reaches 67%. The PL vote remains split between federal deputies Nicoletti and Hélio Bolsonaro, limiting consolidation on the right, while Helena da Asatur (PSD) and incumbent Chico Rodrigues trail in the mid-teens. High indecision, the two-vote structure, and limited recent polling keep probabilities compressed; any late consolidation, shifts tied to the concurrent gubernatorial race, or turnout changes among key blocs could reorder the final tallies before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$46,113終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Teresa Surita (MDB) maintains a narrow edge in trader pricing for first place in Roraima’s October 4 Senate contest, consistent with her 26% showing for the top vacancy in the latest Quaest survey. Her long record as five-term mayor of Boa Vista supplies stronger name recognition than most rivals in a field of 13 candidates where spontaneous indecision reaches 67%. The PL vote remains split between federal deputies Nicoletti and Hélio Bolsonaro, limiting consolidation on the right, while Helena da Asatur (PSD) and incumbent Chico Rodrigues trail in the mid-teens. High indecision, the two-vote structure, and limited recent polling keep probabilities compressed; any late consolidation, shifts tied to the concurrent gubernatorial race, or turnout changes among key blocs could reorder the final tallies before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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