Recent polling from early September shows Teresa Surita (MDB) leading with around 25% while Nicoletti (PL), Chico Rodrigues (PSB), and Helena da Asatur (PSD) remain clustered within a few points of one another for the second Senate seat, consistent with earlier Quaest and Census surveys. Voters select two candidates in this fragmented field, so small shifts in turnout, consolidation of undecideds (often exceeding 20-30% in spontaneous polls), or last-minute alliances can reorder second place. Internal PL dynamics, including differential campaign funding and a court ruling barring Hélio Fernando (PL) from using the Bolsonaro name on the ballot, add uncertainty to party vote splitting ahead of the October 4 election. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this narrow contest among the three main challengers.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Nicoletti 32.0%
Teresa Surita 22%
Helena da Asatur 11.9%
Chico Rodrigues 5.5%
$66,016 Vol.
$66,016 Vol.
2026/10/04
Nicoletti
32%
Teresa Surita
22%
Helena da Asatur
13%
Chico Rodrigues
6%
Helio Bolsonaro
3%
Mario Rocha
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
<1%
Hilton Xavier
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
<1%
Pastor Isamar
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
<1%
Rogério Miranda
<1%
Nicoletti 32.0%
Teresa Surita 22%
Helena da Asatur 11.9%
Chico Rodrigues 5.5%
$66,016 Vol.
$66,016 Vol.
2026/10/04
Nicoletti
$11,738 Vol.
32%
Teresa Surita
$20,001 Vol.
22%
Helena da Asatur
$4,826 Vol.
13%
Chico Rodrigues
$14,754 Vol.
6%
Helio Bolsonaro
$9,100 Vol.
3%
Mario Rocha
$820 Vol.
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
$581 Vol.
<1%
Hilton Xavier
$529 Vol.
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$569 Vol.
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
$676 Vol.
<1%
Pastor Isamar
$952 Vol.
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
$887 Vol.
<1%
Rogério Miranda
$583 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from early September shows Teresa Surita (MDB) leading with around 25% while Nicoletti (PL), Chico Rodrigues (PSB), and Helena da Asatur (PSD) remain clustered within a few points of one another for the second Senate seat, consistent with earlier Quaest and Census surveys. Voters select two candidates in this fragmented field, so small shifts in turnout, consolidation of undecideds (often exceeding 20-30% in spontaneous polls), or last-minute alliances can reorder second place. Internal PL dynamics, including differential campaign funding and a court ruling barring Hélio Fernando (PL) from using the Bolsonaro name on the ballot, add uncertainty to party vote splitting ahead of the October 4 election. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this narrow contest among the three main challengers.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET
音量
$66,016終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from early September shows Teresa Surita (MDB) leading with around 25% while Nicoletti (PL), Chico Rodrigues (PSB), and Helena da Asatur (PSD) remain clustered within a few points of one another for the second Senate seat, consistent with earlier Quaest and Census surveys. Voters select two candidates in this fragmented field, so small shifts in turnout, consolidation of undecideds (often exceeding 20-30% in spontaneous polls), or last-minute alliances can reorder second place. Internal PL dynamics, including differential campaign funding and a court ruling barring Hélio Fernando (PL) from using the Bolsonaro name on the ballot, add uncertainty to party vote splitting ahead of the October 4 election. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this narrow contest among the three main challengers.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$66,016終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from early September shows Teresa Surita (MDB) leading with around 25% while Nicoletti (PL), Chico Rodrigues (PSB), and Helena da Asatur (PSD) remain clustered within a few points of one another for the second Senate seat, consistent with earlier Quaest and Census surveys. Voters select two candidates in this fragmented field, so small shifts in turnout, consolidation of undecideds (often exceeding 20-30% in spontaneous polls), or last-minute alliances can reorder second place. Internal PL dynamics, including differential campaign funding and a court ruling barring Hélio Fernando (PL) from using the Bolsonaro name on the ballot, add uncertainty to party vote splitting ahead of the October 4 election. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this narrow contest among the three main challengers.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問