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icon for 2027年までにFRB金利はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか？
エコノミー·ジェローム・パウエル

2027年までにFRB金利はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか？

icon for 2027年までにFRB金利はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか？
エコノミー·ジェローム・パウエル

2027年までにFRB金利はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか？

$1,824,708 Vol.

2026/12/30
Polymarket

$1,824,708 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ 5.5％

$55,091 Vol.

3%

↑ 5.25％

$142,557 Vol.

3%

↑ 5.0％

$19,154 Vol.

3%

↑ 4.75％

$80,602 Vol.

5%

↑ 4.5％

$39,002 Vol.

15%

↑ 4.25％

$122,991 Vol.

50%

↓ 3.25％

$81,283 Vol.

9%

↓ 3.0％

$317,239 Vol.

2%

↓ 2.75％

$365,498 Vol.

2%

↓2.5%

$222,926 Vol.

2%

↓ 2.25％

$41,639 Vol.

2%

↓ 2.0％

$18,810 Vol.

3%

↓ 1.75％

$13,086 Vol.

1%

↓ 1.5％

$28,320 Vol.

2%

↓ 1.25％

$3,778 Vol.

1%

↓ 1.0％

$2,319 Vol.

2%

↓ 0.75％

$731 Vol.

2%

↓ 0.5％

$107,192 Vol.

2%

↓ 0.25％

$132,345 Vol.

2%

↓ 0％

$21,143 Vol.

2%

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The Federal Open Market Committee maintains the federal funds target range at 3.50–3.75 percent, with the effective rate at 3.63 percent as of mid-September 2026. Persistent inflation, including August CPI rising 0.4 percent month-over-month and 3.4 percent year-over-year, alongside a resilient labor market, has shifted market-implied odds toward a 25-basis-point hike at the September 15–16 meeting. Futures pricing reflects elevated probabilities of further tightening by year-end, contrasting with many economist forecasts that anticipate a hold through 2026 before potential easing in 2027. Key upcoming catalysts include October and December FOMC decisions, October CPI, and employment data that could alter the pace of any policy adjustment.

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.

The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
音量
$1,824,708
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The Federal Open Market Committee maintains the federal funds target range at 3.50–3.75 percent, with the effective rate at 3.63 percent as of mid-September 2026. Persistent inflation, including August CPI rising 0.4 percent month-over-month and 3.4 percent year-over-year, alongside a resilient labor market, has shifted market-implied odds toward a 25-basis-point hike at the September 15–16 meeting. Futures pricing reflects elevated probabilities of further tightening by year-end, contrasting with many economist forecasts that anticipate a hold through 2026 before potential easing in 2027. Key upcoming catalysts include October and December FOMC decisions, October CPI, and employment data that could alter the pace of any policy adjustment.

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.

The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
音量
$1,824,708
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

関連

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はい

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「2027年までにFRB金利はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか？」はPolymarket上の21個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「↓ 3.5％」で100%、次いで「↑ 4.25％」が50%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「2027年までにFRB金利はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか？」は$1.8 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Nov 18, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「2027年までにFRB金利はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている21個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「2027年までにFRB金利はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「↓ 3.5％」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「↑ 4.25％」で50%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「2027年までにFRB金利はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。