OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra launched on September 3 with a limited preview for trusted partners and enterprise users in its Daybreak cybersecurity program, followed by broader rollout to paid ChatGPT plans and the API in the following days. This confirmed timeline, after earlier safety-related delays from a July incident, drove near-certain trader consensus on the August 31–September 6 window. The model’s advanced computer-use capabilities, benchmark results, and statements from leadership about entering an “AGI era” reinforced the timing. A realistic challenge could arise only if the market defines “release” strictly as full public availability rather than the initial launch, or if unforeseen regulatory holds alter the phased rollout.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月31日〜9月6日 100.0%
8月31日より前 <1%
9月7日〜13日 <1%
9月14日〜20日 <1%
$123,612 Vol.
$123,612 Vol.
2026/08/31
8月31日より前
いいえ
8月31日〜9月6日
はい
9月7日〜13日
いいえ
9月14日〜20日
いいえ
9月21日〜27日
いいえ
9月28日〜10月4日
いいえ
10月5日～11日
いいえ
10月12日〜18日
いいえ
10月19日～25日
いいえ
10月26日～11月1日
いいえ
11月1日までにリリースされない
いいえ
8月31日〜9月6日 100.0%
8月31日より前 <1%
9月7日〜13日 <1%
9月14日〜20日 <1%
$123,612 Vol.
$123,612 Vol.
2026/08/31
8月31日より前
$184 Vol.
いいえ
8月31日〜9月6日
$79,426 Vol.
はい
9月7日〜13日
$9,898 Vol.
いいえ
9月14日〜20日
$12,851 Vol.
いいえ
9月21日〜27日
$8,015 Vol.
いいえ
9月28日〜10月4日
$3,021 Vol.
いいえ
10月5日～11日
$2,495 Vol.
いいえ
10月12日〜18日
$1,992 Vol.
いいえ
10月19日～25日
$1,400 Vol.
いいえ
10月26日～11月1日
$1,936 Vol.
いいえ
11月1日までにリリースされない
$2,396 Vol.
いいえ
On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed “Astra,” describing an internal version of Astra as its “next major model.” You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which OpenAI releases "Astra" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, and that model is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra launched on September 3 with a limited preview for trusted partners and enterprise users in its Daybreak cybersecurity program, followed by broader rollout to paid ChatGPT plans and the API in the following days. This confirmed timeline, after earlier safety-related delays from a July incident, drove near-certain trader consensus on the August 31–September 6 window. The model’s advanced computer-use capabilities, benchmark results, and statements from leadership about entering an “AGI era” reinforced the timing. A realistic challenge could arise only if the market defines “release” strictly as full public availability rather than the initial launch, or if unforeseen regulatory holds alter the phased rollout.
On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed “Astra,” describing an internal version of Astra as its “next major model.” You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which OpenAI releases "Astra" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, and that model is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which OpenAI releases "Astra" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, and that model is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Aug 14, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
音量
$123,612終了日
2026/11/01マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 4:43 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed “Astra,” describing an internal version of Astra as its “next major model.” You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which OpenAI releases "Astra" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, and that model is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra launched on September 3 with a limited preview for trusted partners and enterprise users in its Daybreak cybersecurity program, followed by broader rollout to paid ChatGPT plans and the API in the following days. This confirmed timeline, after earlier safety-related delays from a July incident, drove near-certain trader consensus on the August 31–September 6 window. The model’s advanced computer-use capabilities, benchmark results, and statements from leadership about entering an “AGI era” reinforced the timing. A realistic challenge could arise only if the market defines “release” strictly as full public availability rather than the initial launch, or if unforeseen regulatory holds alter the phased rollout.
On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed “Astra,” describing an internal version of Astra as its “next major model.” You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which OpenAI releases "Astra" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, and that model is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which OpenAI releases "Astra" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, and that model is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$123,612終了日
2026/11/01マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 4:43 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra launched on September 3 with a limited preview for trusted partners and enterprise users in its Daybreak cybersecurity program, followed by broader rollout to paid ChatGPT plans and the API in the following days. This confirmed timeline, after earlier safety-related delays from a July incident, drove near-certain trader consensus on the August 31–September 6 window. The model’s advanced computer-use capabilities, benchmark results, and statements from leadership about entering an “AGI era” reinforced the timing. A realistic challenge could arise only if the market defines “release” strictly as full public availability rather than the initial launch, or if unforeseen regulatory holds alter the phased rollout.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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