Anthropic leads Code Arena WebDev market-implied odds at 63.5% because its Claude Opus 5 variants currently top the arena.ai leaderboard with the highest Elo scores in agentic frontend and full-stack web development tasks, including multi-step reasoning, tool use, and iterative app building evaluated via thousands of blind human votes. Recent August 2026 updates show these models outperforming competitors on Pareto frontiers for raw capability, while the gap with strong open-weight entries from Moonshot (Kimi K3), Alibaba (Qwen), and Z.ai (GLM) has narrowed sharply on cost-adjusted metrics. Traders view Anthropic's edge as durable through September absent major releases, though rapid iteration among Chinese labs and OpenAI's GPT-5.6 family creates ongoing uncertainty in this dynamic coding benchmark.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Anthropic 63%
ムーンショット 21.9%
アリババ 5.3%
OpenAI 5.2%
$57,886 Vol.
$57,886 Vol.
2026/09/30
Anthropic
63%
ムーンショット
22%
アリババ
5%
OpenAI
5%
Z.ai
4%
Meta
3%
2%
SpaceXAI
1%
DeepSeek
1%
ByteDance
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Thinky
<1%
テンセント
<1%
Poolside
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Anthropic 63%
ムーンショット 21.9%
アリババ 5.3%
OpenAI 5.2%
$57,886 Vol.
$57,886 Vol.
2026/09/30
Anthropic
$27,644 Vol.
63%
ムーンショット
$14,115 Vol.
22%
アリババ
$1,553 Vol.
5%
OpenAI
$3,755 Vol.
5%
Z.ai
$1,544 Vol.
4%
Meta
$1,251 Vol.
3%
$1,551 Vol.
2%
SpaceXAI
$1,125 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$1,104 Vol.
1%
ByteDance
$468 Vol.
<1%
MiniMax
$559 Vol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$657 Vol.
<1%
Thinky
$560 Vol.
<1%
テンセント
$571 Vol.
<1%
Poolside
$641 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$789 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic leads Code Arena WebDev market-implied odds at 63.5% because its Claude Opus 5 variants currently top the arena.ai leaderboard with the highest Elo scores in agentic frontend and full-stack web development tasks, including multi-step reasoning, tool use, and iterative app building evaluated via thousands of blind human votes. Recent August 2026 updates show these models outperforming competitors on Pareto frontiers for raw capability, while the gap with strong open-weight entries from Moonshot (Kimi K3), Alibaba (Qwen), and Z.ai (GLM) has narrowed sharply on cost-adjusted metrics. Traders view Anthropic's edge as durable through September absent major releases, though rapid iteration among Chinese labs and OpenAI's GPT-5.6 family creates ongoing uncertainty in this dynamic coding benchmark.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
マーケット開始日： Jul 20, 2026, 7:23 PM ET
音量
$57,886終了日
2026/10/01マーケット開始日
Jul 20, 2026, 7:23 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic leads Code Arena WebDev market-implied odds at 63.5% because its Claude Opus 5 variants currently top the arena.ai leaderboard with the highest Elo scores in agentic frontend and full-stack web development tasks, including multi-step reasoning, tool use, and iterative app building evaluated via thousands of blind human votes. Recent August 2026 updates show these models outperforming competitors on Pareto frontiers for raw capability, while the gap with strong open-weight entries from Moonshot (Kimi K3), Alibaba (Qwen), and Z.ai (GLM) has narrowed sharply on cost-adjusted metrics. Traders view Anthropic's edge as durable through September absent major releases, though rapid iteration among Chinese labs and OpenAI's GPT-5.6 family creates ongoing uncertainty in this dynamic coding benchmark.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
音量
$57,886終了日
2026/10/01マーケット開始日
Jul 20, 2026, 7:23 PM ETAnthropic leads Code Arena WebDev market-implied odds at 63.5% because its Claude Opus 5 variants currently top the arena.ai leaderboard with the highest Elo scores in agentic frontend and full-stack web development tasks, including multi-step reasoning, tool use, and iterative app building evaluated via thousands of blind human votes. Recent August 2026 updates show these models outperforming competitors on Pareto frontiers for raw capability, while the gap with strong open-weight entries from Moonshot (Kimi K3), Alibaba (Qwen), and Z.ai (GLM) has narrowed sharply on cost-adjusted metrics. Traders view Anthropic's edge as durable through September absent major releases, though rapid iteration among Chinese labs and OpenAI's GPT-5.6 family creates ongoing uncertainty in this dynamic coding benchmark.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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