Recent controversies surrounding incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden, including his August 2026 outburst against Capitol pages that drew bipartisan criticism, have weighed on his standing in this competitive western Wisconsin district. Democrat Rebecca Cooke secured her nomination in the August primary with a strong fundraising edge and now leads in available polling averages as the rematch of the 2024 contest, where Van Orden prevailed by under three points. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts remain mostly toss-up with one lean Democratic, reflecting the seat's narrow margins and sensitivity to candidate-specific developments. Upcoming debates and late-cycle voter outreach could still shift dynamics before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
レベッカ・クック（民主党）
71%
デリック・ヴァン・オーダン（共和党）
28%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
レベッカ・クック（民主党）
$4,465 Vol.
71%
デリック・ヴァン・オーダン（共和党）
$2,073 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent controversies surrounding incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden, including his August 2026 outburst against Capitol pages that drew bipartisan criticism, have weighed on his standing in this competitive western Wisconsin district. Democrat Rebecca Cooke secured her nomination in the August primary with a strong fundraising edge and now leads in available polling averages as the rematch of the 2024 contest, where Van Orden prevailed by under three points. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts remain mostly toss-up with one lean Democratic, reflecting the seat's narrow margins and sensitivity to candidate-specific developments. Upcoming debates and late-cycle voter outreach could still shift dynamics before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
音量
$6,538終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent controversies surrounding incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden, including his August 2026 outburst against Capitol pages that drew bipartisan criticism, have weighed on his standing in this competitive western Wisconsin district. Democrat Rebecca Cooke secured her nomination in the August primary with a strong fundraising edge and now leads in available polling averages as the rematch of the 2024 contest, where Van Orden prevailed by under three points. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts remain mostly toss-up with one lean Democratic, reflecting the seat's narrow margins and sensitivity to candidate-specific developments. Upcoming debates and late-cycle voter outreach could still shift dynamics before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$6,538終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Recent controversies surrounding incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden, including his August 2026 outburst against Capitol pages that drew bipartisan criticism, have weighed on his standing in this competitive western Wisconsin district. Democrat Rebecca Cooke secured her nomination in the August primary with a strong fundraising edge and now leads in available polling averages as the rematch of the 2024 contest, where Van Orden prevailed by under three points. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts remain mostly toss-up with one lean Democratic, reflecting the seat's narrow margins and sensitivity to candidate-specific developments. Upcoming debates and late-cycle voter outreach could still shift dynamics before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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