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icon for Florida Senate Election: Turnout
Polityka·Rozjazd

Florida Senate Election: Turnout

icon for Florida Senate Election: Turnout
Polityka·Rozjazd

Florida Senate Election: Turnout

8M-8.25M 46%

7.75M-8M 25.3%

7.5M-7.75M 23.8%

9M+ 22%

Polymarket
NOWE

8M-8.25M 46%

7.75M-8M 25.3%

7.5M-7.75M 23.8%

9M+ 22%

Polymarket
NOWE

<7M

$79 Wol.

1%

7M-7.25M

$516 Wol.

<1%

7.25M-7.5M

$1,340 Wol.

6%

7.5M-7.75M

$48 Wol.

24%

7.75M-8M

$39 Wol.

25%

8M-8.25M

$509 Wol.

46%

8.25M-8.5M

$97 Wol.

8%

8.5M-8.75M

$1,179 Wol.

4%

8.75M-9M

$86 Wol.

13%

9M+

$39 Wol.

22%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Florida's November 3 special U.S. Senate election between Republican incumbent Ashley Moody and Democrat Angie Nixon features trader consensus around 7.75M–8.5M total ballots, reflecting the state's Republican registration advantage, historical midterm turnout patterns, and reduced competitiveness after the August primaries. Moody cleared her primary easily while Angie Nixon's upset over Alex Vindman produced a more progressive nominee, potentially widening partisan turnout gaps and limiting independent mobilization. Early and mail voting trends, get-out-the-vote intensity, and Florida's rightward shift since 2024 sustain probabilities in the mid-to-high 7M–8M bands, with outcomes hinging on no-party-affiliation participation before Election Day.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$3,932
Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 10:06 AM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Florida's November 3 special U.S. Senate election between Republican incumbent Ashley Moody and Democrat Angie Nixon features trader consensus around 7.75M–8.5M total ballots, reflecting the state's Republican registration advantage, historical midterm turnout patterns, and reduced competitiveness after the August primaries. Moody cleared her primary easily while Angie Nixon's upset over Alex Vindman produced a more progressive nominee, potentially widening partisan turnout gaps and limiting independent mobilization. Early and mail voting trends, get-out-the-vote intensity, and Florida's rightward shift since 2024 sustain probabilities in the mid-to-high 7M–8M bands, with outcomes hinging on no-party-affiliation participation before Election Day.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$3,932
Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 10:06 AM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...

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Często zadawane pytania

"Florida Senate Election: Turnout" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 10 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "8M-8.25M" z 46%, za nim "7.75M-8M" z 25%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 46¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 46% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Florida Senate Election: Turnout" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Aug 18, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "Florida Senate Election: Turnout", przeglądaj 10 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Florida Senate Election: Turnout" jest "8M-8.25M" z 46%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 46% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "7.75M-8M" z 25%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Florida Senate Election: Turnout" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.