**The competitive 2026 Nevada gubernatorial contest between incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo and Democratic challenger Aaron Ford, currently polling within a few points, anchors trader expectations for general election turnout near 1.05M–1.125M ballots.** Nevada’s roughly 2.27 million registered voters produced about 1.02 million ballots in the 2022 midterm and 1.48 million in the 2024 presidential cycle; the 2026 race’s toss-up or lean-Republican ratings and active early/mail voting access align with the leading 1.05M–1.125M range as a modest increase over the prior midterm baseline. Recent primary turnout near 20 percent and sustained campaign focus on the economy provide limited additional catalysts, keeping higher or lower bands at lower implied probabilities absent late developments that could shift participation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano1.05M-1.125M 44%
900K-975K 25%
1.125M-1.2M 23%
1.2M-1.275M 8.6%
<900K
2%
900K-975K
29%
975K-1.05M
4%
1.05M-1.125M
44%
1.125M-1.2M
25%
1.2M-1.275M
9%
1.275M-1.35M
<1%
1.35M+
<1%
1.05M-1.125M 44%
900K-975K 25%
1.125M-1.2M 23%
1.2M-1.275M 8.6%
<900K
2%
900K-975K
29%
975K-1.05M
4%
1.05M-1.125M
44%
1.125M-1.2M
25%
1.2M-1.275M
9%
1.275M-1.35M
<1%
1.35M+
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 18, 2026, 10:12 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**The competitive 2026 Nevada gubernatorial contest between incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo and Democratic challenger Aaron Ford, currently polling within a few points, anchors trader expectations for general election turnout near 1.05M–1.125M ballots.** Nevada’s roughly 2.27 million registered voters produced about 1.02 million ballots in the 2022 midterm and 1.48 million in the 2024 presidential cycle; the 2026 race’s toss-up or lean-Republican ratings and active early/mail voting access align with the leading 1.05M–1.125M range as a modest increase over the prior midterm baseline. Recent primary turnout near 20 percent and sustained campaign focus on the economy provide limited additional catalysts, keeping higher or lower bands at lower implied probabilities absent late developments that could shift participation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPowiązane
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