The non-competitive nature of Wyoming’s open U.S. Senate race, with Republican Harriet Hageman facing Democrat James Byrd in a solidly Republican contest, anchors trader expectations for turnout near 200,000 votes. Recent August primaries produced decisive nominations without generating broad mobilization, consistent with historical midterm patterns that show lower participation than presidential years like 2024’s roughly 271,000 ballots. Limited Democratic engagement in the state’s rural electorate and typical drop-off from high-turnout cycles keep probabilities closely split between the 190K-210K and 210K-230K ranges. Weather on November 3 or last-minute campaign efforts could still shift final numbers within those leading bins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano190K-210K 43%
210K-230K 34%
250K+ 9%
230K-250K 7.0%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
<150K
3%
150K-170K
4%
170K-190K
15%
190K-210K
43%
210K-230K
33%
230K-250K
7%
250K+
9%
190K-210K 43%
210K-230K 34%
250K+ 9%
230K-250K 7.0%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
<150K
$246 Wol.
3%
150K-170K
$87 Wol.
4%
170K-190K
$215 Wol.
15%
190K-210K
$2,560 Wol.
43%
210K-230K
$429 Wol.
33%
230K-250K
$119 Wol.
7%
250K+
$791 Wol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The non-competitive nature of Wyoming’s open U.S. Senate race, with Republican Harriet Hageman facing Democrat James Byrd in a solidly Republican contest, anchors trader expectations for turnout near 200,000 votes. Recent August primaries produced decisive nominations without generating broad mobilization, consistent with historical midterm patterns that show lower participation than presidential years like 2024’s roughly 271,000 ballots. Limited Democratic engagement in the state’s rural electorate and typical drop-off from high-turnout cycles keep probabilities closely split between the 190K-210K and 210K-230K ranges. Weather on November 3 or last-minute campaign efforts could still shift final numbers within those leading bins.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,446Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The non-competitive nature of Wyoming’s open U.S. Senate race, with Republican Harriet Hageman facing Democrat James Byrd in a solidly Republican contest, anchors trader expectations for turnout near 200,000 votes. Recent August primaries produced decisive nominations without generating broad mobilization, consistent with historical midterm patterns that show lower participation than presidential years like 2024’s roughly 271,000 ballots. Limited Democratic engagement in the state’s rural electorate and typical drop-off from high-turnout cycles keep probabilities closely split between the 190K-210K and 210K-230K ranges. Weather on November 3 or last-minute campaign efforts could still shift final numbers within those leading bins.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$4,446Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The non-competitive nature of Wyoming’s open U.S. Senate race, with Republican Harriet Hageman facing Democrat James Byrd in a solidly Republican contest, anchors trader expectations for turnout near 200,000 votes. Recent August primaries produced decisive nominations without generating broad mobilization, consistent with historical midterm patterns that show lower participation than presidential years like 2024’s roughly 271,000 ballots. Limited Democratic engagement in the state’s rural electorate and typical drop-off from high-turnout cycles keep probabilities closely split between the 190K-210K and 210K-230K ranges. Weather on November 3 or last-minute campaign efforts could still shift final numbers within those leading bins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPowiązane
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