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icon for Oregon Senate Election: Turnout
Polityka·Rozjazd

Oregon Senate Election: Turnout

icon for Oregon Senate Election: Turnout
Polityka·Rozjazd

Oregon Senate Election: Turnout

1.5M-1.6M 18.9%

2M-2.1M 17%

1.7M-1.8M 14%

2.2M+ 14%

Polymarket
NOWE

1.5M-1.6M 18.9%

2M-2.1M 17%

1.7M-1.8M 14%

2.2M+ 14%

Polymarket
NOWE

<1.5M

$153 Wol.

25%

1.5M-1.6M

$102 Wol.

19%

1.6M-1.7M

$70 Wol.

6%

1.7M-1.8M

$138 Wol.

14%

1.8M-1.9M

$57 Wol.

7%

1.9M-2M

$60 Wol.

8%

2M-2.1M

$205 Wol.

17%

2.1M-2.2M

$53 Wol.

7%

2.2M+

$91 Wol.

14%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The low-competitiveness nature of the 2026 Oregon U.S. Senate race, with incumbent Democrat Jeff Merkley facing Republican David Brock Smith in a solidly Democratic state, contributes to trader caution on turnout totals. Oregon's universal mail-in system has historically produced strong participation, including a record 41.9% in the May 2026 primary with over 1.28 million ballots cast from roughly 3.1 million registered voters. However, midterm Senate contests without a presidential race or tight statewide contest often see more modest general-election engagement than presidential years. The spread across sub-1.5 million through 1.8 million bins reflects uncertainty over base mobilization and any late shifts in voter interest ahead of November 3.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$929
Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The low-competitiveness nature of the 2026 Oregon U.S. Senate race, with incumbent Democrat Jeff Merkley facing Republican David Brock Smith in a solidly Democratic state, contributes to trader caution on turnout totals. Oregon's universal mail-in system has historically produced strong participation, including a record 41.9% in the May 2026 primary with over 1.28 million ballots cast from roughly 3.1 million registered voters. However, midterm Senate contests without a presidential race or tight statewide contest often see more modest general-election engagement than presidential years. The spread across sub-1.5 million through 1.8 million bins reflects uncertainty over base mobilization and any late shifts in voter interest ahead of November 3.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$929
Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...

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Często zadawane pytania

"Oregon Senate Election: Turnout" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 9 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "<1.5M" z 25%, za nim "1.5M-1.6M" z 19%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 25¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 25% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Oregon Senate Election: Turnout" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Aug 18, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

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Obecnym faworytem dla "Oregon Senate Election: Turnout" jest "<1.5M" z 25%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 25% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "1.5M-1.6M" z 19%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Oregon Senate Election: Turnout" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.