Skip to main content

Aby handlować w USA, wejdź na polymarket.us

icon for Oklahoma Senate Election: Turnout
Polityka·Rozjazd

Oklahoma Senate Election: Turnout

icon for Oklahoma Senate Election: Turnout
Polityka·Rozjazd

Oklahoma Senate Election: Turnout

1.2M-1.3M 49%

1.1M-1.2M 45%

1M-1.1M 7.4%

1.3M-1.4M 4.7%

Polymarket
NOWE

1.2M-1.3M 49%

1.1M-1.2M 45%

1M-1.1M 7.4%

1.3M-1.4M 4.7%

Polymarket
NOWE

<900K

$319 Wol.

1%

900K-1M

$249 Wol.

1%

1M-1.1M

$207 Wol.

7%

1.1M-1.2M

$1,269 Wol.

45%

1.2M-1.3M

$595 Wol.

49%

1.3M-1.4M

$1,805 Wol.

5%

1.4M+

$676 Wol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Oklahoma’s US Senate contest features Republican Kevin Hern facing Democrat N’Kiyla Thomas in a solidly Republican open-seat race projected to produce a wide margin. This dynamic, combined with the state’s historically low participation rates, anchors trader expectations for total ballots near the middle turnout bands. Recent primaries and the August runoff drew only 22–26% of registered voters, underscoring persistent engagement challenges even in higher-profile cycles. With roughly 2.43 million registered voters and no competitive statewide contests to drive mobilization, general-election turnout will hinge on baseline Republican participation and limited Democratic crossover. The narrow spread between the leading 1.1–1.2 million and 1.2–1.3 million vote ranges reflects uncertainty over whether typical midterm patterns or further softening in a non-battleground environment will prevail.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$5,120
Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Oklahoma’s US Senate contest features Republican Kevin Hern facing Democrat N’Kiyla Thomas in a solidly Republican open-seat race projected to produce a wide margin. This dynamic, combined with the state’s historically low participation rates, anchors trader expectations for total ballots near the middle turnout bands. Recent primaries and the August runoff drew only 22–26% of registered voters, underscoring persistent engagement challenges even in higher-profile cycles. With roughly 2.43 million registered voters and no competitive statewide contests to drive mobilization, general-election turnout will hinge on baseline Republican participation and limited Democratic crossover. The narrow spread between the leading 1.1–1.2 million and 1.2–1.3 million vote ranges reflects uncertainty over whether typical midterm patterns or further softening in a non-battleground environment will prevail.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$5,120
Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...

Powiązane

icon for Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000?

52%
icon for Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 1,500,000 and 1,600,000?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 1,500,000 and 1,600,000?

44%
icon for Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota be between 2,150,000 and 2,300,000?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota be between 2,150,000 and 2,300,000?

47%

Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.

Często zadawane pytania

"Oklahoma Senate Election: Turnout" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 7 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "1.2M-1.3M" z 49%, za nim "1.1M-1.2M" z 45%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 49¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 49% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Oklahoma Senate Election: Turnout" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Aug 18, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "Oklahoma Senate Election: Turnout", przeglądaj 7 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Oklahoma Senate Election: Turnout" jest "1.2M-1.3M" z 49%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 49% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "1.1M-1.2M" z 45%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Oklahoma Senate Election: Turnout" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.