The Sergipe Senate race for two seats remains highly competitive heading into the October 4 election, with recent polls showing a fragmented field where no candidate exceeds low double digits and a large share of voters stay undecided. Leading contenders Delegado André David (Republicanos) and Rogério Carvalho (PT) top most surveys, closely followed by André Moura (União Brasil), Delegado Alessandro (MDB), Eduardo Amorim (Republicanos), and Rodrigo Valadares (PL), reflecting divided voter preferences across center-right, left, and independent-leaning options. High indecisiveness in spontaneous responses and the mechanics of selecting two senators per ballot sustain the tight implied probabilities among top names, while limited late-campaign shifts or endorsements have yet to consolidate support. Developments such as final debate performances, alliance consolidations, or turnout patterns in key regions could still reorder the finish.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoDelegado André David 38%
Rogerio Carvalho 34.5%
André Moura 13.3%
Edvaldo 6.8%
$33,853 Wol.
$33,853 Wol.

Delegado André David
38%

Rogerio Carvalho
34%

André Moura
25%

Edvaldo
7%

Eduardo Amorim
5%

Rodrigo Valadares
3%

Iran Barbosa
2%

Paulinho da União Tur
1%

Delegado Alessandro
<1%

Renatinha
<1%

Coronel Rocha
<1%
Delegado André David 38%
Rogerio Carvalho 34.5%
André Moura 13.3%
Edvaldo 6.8%
$33,853 Wol.
$33,853 Wol.

Delegado André David
38%

Rogerio Carvalho
34%

André Moura
25%

Edvaldo
7%

Eduardo Amorim
5%

Rodrigo Valadares
3%

Iran Barbosa
2%

Paulinho da União Tur
1%

Delegado Alessandro
<1%

Renatinha
<1%

Coronel Rocha
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Sergipe Senate race for two seats remains highly competitive heading into the October 4 election, with recent polls showing a fragmented field where no candidate exceeds low double digits and a large share of voters stay undecided. Leading contenders Delegado André David (Republicanos) and Rogério Carvalho (PT) top most surveys, closely followed by André Moura (União Brasil), Delegado Alessandro (MDB), Eduardo Amorim (Republicanos), and Rodrigo Valadares (PL), reflecting divided voter preferences across center-right, left, and independent-leaning options. High indecisiveness in spontaneous responses and the mechanics of selecting two senators per ballot sustain the tight implied probabilities among top names, while limited late-campaign shifts or endorsements have yet to consolidate support. Developments such as final debate performances, alliance consolidations, or turnout patterns in key regions could still reorder the finish.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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